At the 2024 Paris Olympics, in the 800m track event, the woman who won gold, fastest in the world that year, ran the race in 1 minute and 56 seconds. I chose those games because it was the most recent Olympics, and I chose the 800m race because it was something I knew I could find corresponding data for.

At the 2026 OFSAA senior finals, the fastest runner in the 800m race finished in 1 minute 53 seconds. OFSSA is Ontario highschool boys, so in this case he was a highschool senior (grade 12 likely). That's not the Olympics, it's not nationals, it's the fastest highschool boy in the province of Ontario Canada in 2026, and he would have gotten gold in the Olympics by 3 full seconds. The Olympic gold medalist would have come in 8th place in Ontario assuming the same performance. I picked Ontario because I live here, I picked 2026 because it's the current year, and I didn't go hunting for a result like this, the 800m run is literally the first thing I looked up.

The Olympic record for the fastest any woman has ever run 800m is in 1980 when a woman ran it in 1 minute 53.43 seconds which is 0.17 seconds faster than this year's fastest Ontario boy. Had he run in that race, again assuming same performance, he would have come in a very close second. Silver from the 1980 race would have gotten bronze in Ontario this year, and bronze from that race would have come 5th. And remember that's the fastest race ever, from 1980, not this most recent Olympics where gold would have come 8th in Ontario.

To cherry-pick a little, last year that same Ontario boy ran the 800m in 1 min 52.36 seconds, so that year he was faster than any woman on earth has run it. The all-time world record for women's would have come 4th in Ontario that year, so not on the podium. None of that is even close to the the all time Ontario record, by the way, which is 1 minute 48 seconds set in 2007.

Okay, so what. I'm not saying women are inferior because they run slower. Maybe we decide sport in general is a dumb way to rank people. I'm not saying I'm faster than the Olympic women's athletes. There's a spectrum and there's overlap. I'm not saying trans women have the performance characteristics of men. Data seem to show those advantages may decrease over time. I'm not fighting to keep trans women out of sports.

The trans in sport thing is absolutely a distraction, because the people taking the hardest stances didn't give a shit about women's sport before this.

But there's a reason we keep records and events separate, and it's because a random highschool boy from Ontario Canada is not the fastest boy alive, but every year some highschool boy in Ontario runs fast enough to win Olympic Gold against the women, and often, or at least occasionally, faster than any woman ever. Let alone nationals, international, and Olympic men.

Yes, very good analysis. The thing is, this all assumes that all girls sports are about to be pitted against boys in all categories. When the reality is the phenomena of a trans girl wanting to play in sports is extremely rare. Trans athletes make up just .002% of college athleteshttps://www.sf.gov/trans-women-in-sports-facts-over-fear . Given all the factors that are involved with transition and the rarity of someone wanting to compete it seems to me to be more of a case by case basis rather than legislating hard rules that as the OP points out do more harm to women in general.

I agree with you! The trans-athlete debate is mostly just anti-trans opinions wrapped in a palettable shell. And checking for transness, even if you don't care about trans people and only care about cis-women, is still super fucked because even in a field of only cis-women it's going to be embarassing and invasive.

But I don't think any of that is what OP was about. I think that's just your own opinions reflected back at you on the general topic that OPs comments were on.

OP was saying that that anti-trans concerns have tricked us into believing that women suck and are bad at stuff, and that this inherent badness is why we need DEI and other things like it. And that's not true, I mean by and large the reason for a lot of equality issues is that the dudes in positions of power are willfully being shitty to women, not because women can't do male jobs. And those same dudes also, wouldn't you know it, happen to be the ones against this stuff. So that's all great...

But sports is a bad example. Sports is kinda the one place there is actually a measurable advantage that seems unlikely to be just bias or gatekeeping, which is what I tried to highlight with my stats.

But even this isn't fully against what OP was saying. I think they were saying the bad people are using this one case where there's an unbiased difference, and implying that this is also the case in other areas where it doesn't apply. In this I also agree with OP, that maybe sports are a bad place to focus.

(I'm not saying men have never tried to gatekeep women from sports. I've seen the picture of people trying to pull a woman off the course of the Boston Marathon. I'm just saying that in 2024 the 90th percentile finishing time for young men was 2 hours and 40 minutes and for young women was 3 hours and 8 minutes)

Come on... Are we really going to argue that on average, men are not stronger and taller than women? That doesn't make women inferior to men. Men will, on average, go bald more often and earlier than women. That doesn't make men inferior to women.

This feels like an insanely online take.

Individuals aren’t averages or I’d be taller, and men aren’t competing in women’s sports.

When you optimize for the top men vs top women, you'll often see men come out on top. (Though there likely also is an element of men being encouraged to go into sports, rather than women, so they are disadvantaged not only because of biological differences.) The part of the OP you skipped is "inherently weaker". There's a problematic viewpoint, while not taken literally most of the time, of all women being weaker than all men. Or that they should always be weaker, whether physically, or just in the "being subservient" way.

With your response having missed the point, it basically shows you're falling for that propaganda. I invite you to rethink.

When you optimize for the top men vs top women, you’ll often see men come out on top.

And the middle. And any other reasonably comparable subset of men and women.

The part of the OP you skipped is “inherently weaker”.

Because it's a wild assertion made without evidence. OP feels this is part of a vast concerted planned conspiracy...

(Personally I think if there is a conspiracy, it's to create fights like this on the Left. It sounds like the Left is saying that men aren't generally bigger and stronger than women, which, for anyone who has ever seen multiple people, must seem a pretty wild claim.)

Are you really arguing trans women are men?

Where do you get that from their comment?

The part where this is about the trans women in sport debate. Y’know the entire thing being discussed.

There are lots wrong with their comment including misogyny and ableism in general.

However, we're not sure misgendering is one of them, we say this as trans beings who have seen a lot of it.

As a smaller, weaker man, I'm always amazed that people think women are "inherently" weaker. Yes, stats matter, but there are so many woman who are drasticly stronger, and larger than me.

And good for them. I've never really been intimidated by that. I don't understand this insecurity, but then again, I'm not a fucking fascist.

Also, I find the sports debate silly. We have different weight classes for different sports. Why is it suddenly different when its male vs female? Just do similar things, with similar controls.

Whilst what you say is correct for you. It is extremely likely that you are stronger than a woman of the same height and weight as you.

I am a regular sized guy (for NZ); there are a bunch of women bigger than me and stronger than me. For example Dame Valerie Adams is epic. No contest, bigger and stronger than me, she is a similar age also.

Women are physically "inherently" weaker; for a given size/weight. But that is also dependent on context; e.g. I'm a rock climber; so I tend to a slimmer build, big muscles are just extra weight to pull up a wall, I climb with a bunch of women, some similar build than me and most of them are just better climbers. Skill, endurance, grip strength, flexibility, balance...are all factors, as are injury history and how you are feeling on the day. But this is not competitive climbing, we are all just there for fun. If it were, I wouldn't be in their grade (thankfully).

Women are "inherently" weaker than men, this is why when it comes to situations where this is a factor, we don't compete directly.

Do we really need to make anti-trans bigotry be secretly about cis women in order to care about it?

Conservatives always rally around bigotry towards groups they hate and fear: immigrants, racial minorities, or trans people. It’s all the same motivation.

You can see this any time a trans woman dares to participate in a combat sport. Bigots have dialed in the art of posing dramatically for the camera when they get popped one by a trans woman, even though cis women give each other the exact same injuries all the time due to the fact they are willingly participating in a combat sport. An injury isn't magically worse because someone whose genitals you made assumptions about gave it to you.

And as the inverse of this, trans men in combat sports often have their cis men competitors refuse to fight them under the guise of 'not hitting women'. Even though trans men have also gone through testosterone based puberty, the thing that according to them also makes trans women fit only for the men's competitions.

This whole shitshow not making any logical sense isn't an accident, it's a cultural/political choice and not one based in reason or science. The point is 'don't be trans', anyone arguing otherwise is a rube or a con artist.

All the while transfolk “are weak soldiers to join the military.”
It's about control. It's always been about control.

This is straight out of the Fascist playbook. "The Enemy" is both weak and strong, depending on the rhetorical need. "We are strong and They are weak", but simultaneously, "They are the greatest threat to our fragile way of life".

Yes, and if there wasn't such a push to keep women and other beings who usually have their primary 'sex' hormone be estrogen that way then who knows? Perhaps there would be more beings who were physically strong.

But muscled women and other estroginated beings are said to be 'gross', look at the panic over The Last of Us 2. Any depection of what such beings could and actually do like is purported to be 'unrealistic' and 'woke nonsense'.

Despite it being more than possible, it's just a ploy to keep women and others who's primary sex hormone is estrogen controlled and unable to fight back via beauty standards and conditioning from a young age.

I think this argument falls apart the moment it encounters reality.

There's a reason virtually all physical sports have separate divisions for men and women. In many of them the men's division is technically the general division and women are allowed to take part, but typically don't because by and large they cannot compete with the men in that division. There's only a handful of sports where women compete with men on equal footing, and even fewer sports where women clearly outperform men. And yes, there are a couple of examples in history where a league adjusted its rules to exclude women after a woman started beating the men and the chauvinists in charge couldn't handle this (iirc some shooting competitions for example), but the fact is that this is not the case for the overwhelming majority of sports.

This is just fundamentally a nonsensical argument to begin with. What does it matter that, statistically, women are weaker than men? Society generally does not measure a person's worth by their physical strength.

Pro athletes are an even worse point of comparison, because most people of either gender will literally never ever be able to become a pro athlete at most sports no matter how hard they try. Not only because of genetic determinism, but also because becoming a pro athlete begins in childhood and unless you were on that track as a teenager that ship has sailed by the time you're an adult.

So yeah, women's leagues exist in sports because by and large women's bodies are physically different from men's. Without these leagues female athletes would have no opportunity to compete in a lot of sports as they would be completely crowded out by male athletes. It's not (for the most part) a conspiracy of the patriarchy to put women down.

This argument is that banning trans women from playing with other women is because they are imbued with some magical strength that comes from having been assigned male at birth. That is implying trans women are men and thus still stronger than cis women; which is not the case.

I am talking about the argument in OP's image that's claiming that women being weaker than men is "ideology". It's not ideology, it's reality. Women's sports divisions exist because they are a form of necessary positive discrimination, not because the patriarchy wants to put women down in sports. It makes no sense to deny this; instead we should admit it and work towards a society where "weaker" is not the same thing as "inferior".

The transgender sports debate is a distinct issue. The argument in OP's image doesn't really make much sense to me wrt. that debate, because to me it seems it's trying to argue that women's divisions shouldn't exist in the first place when clearly they exist for a good reason.

The ideology in question in that post is that women are 'inferior' not that women are weaker. Their physical strength is a way to push patriarchal views. It is being framed in the context of trans women in sport because it denies them their womanhood and ties it into masculine traits.

It is true that if you overlap the bell curve of strength, height, and whatever other markers men will generally be on the higher end, but not entirely. In my opinion sex is a very lazy way to distribute athletes into competitive groups.

For example, I am a cis-male who is on the lower average end of height, weight, and since I only do light exercise, strength too. My cis-female friend, on the other hand, is 6 feet tall, has done strength training, and played college basketball. Even if I were to train in strength and skill for basketball, she would still have a huge advantage due to her height. I would have a harder time defending shots she takes, and she could more easily block mine. Since basketball is a team sport I could try to focus on stealing and then passing to a teammate who is taller, but then again so could a cis-female against cis-males.

I don't know what exactly the better way to distribute athletes would be, but I am sure kinesiologists can probably think of something besides sex.

Edit: I added "cis" to be more clear

It makes no sense to even consider any ordinary person in the same sentence as professional sports. Professional athletes are extreme outliers. Ordinary people, by definition, are not. Even most college athletes aren't -- there's a massive gulf between a 90th percentile and 99.9th percentile athlete in pretty much any sport.

For some sports, particularly team sports, there's undoubtedly a cultural barrier that hinders women competing with men, but this is not really the case for individual sports like track and field. The reality is that we do not see the top female athletes in the world coming anywhere near the top male athletes in the 100 metre sprint, shot put, triple jump, triathlon or what have you. This is IMO pretty incontrovertible proof that it is a matter of biology.

I've found top athletes in general are a tough pill to swallow for people who subscribe to (IMO) a naive reading of egalitarianism, given the ample empirical evidence they present for all sorts of genetic determinism. My take is that sports are fundamentally discriminatory at the highest level and there is no way to fix this, and really that's okay because high-level sports literally concern an absolutely minuscule fraction of the population.

No, it is not this argument. That's a different argument.

Among top performers in physical activities, men dominate for genetic reasons. That's not only because men are significantly stronger than women on average, it's also because men tend to have more variability for a lot of traits, so the really high-performing men in many physical fields really are freakishly good at what they do.

That's not a political statement and has nothing to do with values or culture. It's sex, not gender.

The comment you responded to gave you the perfect evidence for this. There's no men's sports, there's just an open league and anyone regardless of gender is free to participate if they can compete. It's a fact that from soccer to chess, women tend not to qualify at the very top. (And neither do 99.9999% of men for that matter.)

That's why women's sports are exclusive, gender-separatist spaces.

Now pay attention because the next part is important. The right is playing culture war over this issue and targeting trans women, using a bait-and-switch with the actual fucking scientific facts stated above and the non-sequitur that anyone who was born with XY chromosomes has an unfair advantage over someone who was born with XX.

The latter statement does not make sense, is not scientific and does not follow from the first. That should be our focus, not trying to deny facts.

It is the argument in OPs image, and it is conveniently left out of the comment. Instead framing this as male sex is stronger than female sex, hence male sex must be kept out to ensure fairness. It reeks of transphobic dog whistles.

The argument in OPs image is confused and badly presented. The parts relating to physical strength have been factually refuted.

We're fucked if we let the right own the facts. Yes it's often used as ragebait or a transphobic dogwhistle, but please, take a moment to consider why it's working.

The parts relating to trans womens physical strength show them to be on par with cis womens physical strength after a few years of hormone therapy. We're fucked if we let the right dictate factoids.

There we go. Now we're getting somewhere.

Title of the thread: "Women Are Strong"

Literal first sentence of the tweet: "...is to spread the idea that women are "weaker" than men"

Also the tweet: "The most successful thing the conservatives have ever done is get feminists to agree that women are weaker than men, using transgender hate as a Trojan horse"

Somewhat ironically I think it's in fact this tweet that's using the transgender athlete debate as a trojan horse, in a way trying to reframe it to be about women's rights rather than (or in addition to) trans rights. I'm guessing it's an attempt to get TERFs to change their minds.

huh? its all way simpler than that.

Explain how.

Conservatives hate trans people. It’s not a secret conspiracy to denigrate all women

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