SeventyTwoTrillion [he/him]
newsMere hours before Trump's 8pm Tuesday deadline yesterday, Pakistan's government contacted Iran with a US-written proposal for a two-week ceasefire, explicitly stated to also include Lebanon, during which they would negotiate a permanent end to the war on the basis of Iran's 10 Points. Among other things, these points include 1) maintaining strict control (joint with Oman) over Hormuz, complete with a toll; 2) the end of sanctions on Iran; 3) keeping their enriched uranium; 4) a withdrawal of US forces from the Middle East [stated by the Supreme Leadership Council but not in the 10 Points, so who knows], and 5) some plausible guarantee that Iran would never be attacked again. I've heard rumors that China may have prodded Iran to accept these terms.
In theory, these are relatively confident and maximalist demands. In practice, Iran has already achieved military and economic control over Hormuz and the withdrawal of many US troops and bases from the region, so at least a few of Iran's demands are, to a greater or lesser extent, already achieved, and with little hope for an increasingly exhausted US to undo these achievements short of nukes.
A couple hours after the ceasefire, the Zionist entity began a wave of airstrikes in Lebanon, killing hundreds of civilians, as well as flying drones into Iranian airspace. This was a strange move to make even if you assume - very sensibly - that the US is completely agreement non-capable: why not agree to the ceasefire and simply pretend to negotiate for two weeks while regrouping/repairing what assets you can and then start hitting Iran again?
One theory is that the Zionists are testing to what degree Iran is actually willing to have solidarity with Lebanon and Hezbollah. While the Resistance has been relatively united since October 7th, the formation of separate peaces instead of negotiating terms as a united front has been a major exploitable weakness. Alternatively, it's been proposed that the US didn't even consider using the ceasefire to regroup and deceive Iran, and that Trump merely wanted a way to chicken out of his threat on Iran's electrical grid - the fact that US officials have since stated that Iran's 10 Points were not the same ones they agreed to is a point supporting this, I suppose. If the conflict resumes and Trump does not deliver another 48 hour deadline (and/or makes it something silly like a month from now) then this could be the explanation.
From Iran, I am getting the sense that a lot is happening behind the scenes. Statements from top officials like Araghchi have stated quite plainly that there will be no ceasefire and no negotiations unless the Zionists stop attacking Lebanon, but as of ~24 hours after the ceasefire began, there has been no significant military response from Iran yet. There have apparently been phone calls between Araghchi and numerous regional officials, but it is unknown to what end. All the while, the global economic situation continues to deteriorate. Over the next week or two, the last tankers that left Hormuz before it closed will arrive at their destinations. If the missile exchanges begin once more, then the West, much like most of the rest of the world, will be experiencing all sorts of fuel, energy, food, and product shortages while trying to justify why they broke the ceasefire to kill more Lebanese civilians.
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::: spoiler The Zionist Entity's Genocide of Palestine
Sources on the fighting in Palestine against the temporary Zionist entity. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:
UNRWA reports on the Zionists' destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.
English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.
Mirrors of Telegram channels that have been erased by Zionist censorship.
:::
::: spoiler Russia-Ukraine Conflict
Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict
Sources:
Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.
Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.
Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:
Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.
https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.
Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:
Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.
:::
For the first time since the cease-fire was struck, two non-Iranian oil tankers were tracked to cross to Strait of Hormuz by Kpler, a global ship-tracking firm. - NYT update
Those ships carried Palau and Gabon flags, according to public vessel data. A total of eight bulk carriers, which carry dry cargo, have also crossed the vital waterway since the two-week truce was made, but overall, marine traffic in the strait remained at a trickle.
Reports of drones and/or missiles in Kuwait and UAE. Either the Mosaic defense being too Mosaic-y, or Israel/US doing false flags. At least so far, no one seems to care?
P.s.: the US transport plane that delivered the US delegation to Pakistan for negotiations is already back in the air. Could be just repositioning, or the "talks" are already over.
This is perhaps in range of Ansar Allah. Guess we will find out once this latest round of perfidy concludes.
Iran conditions truce on cessation of Israeli attacks against Lebanon - Prensa Latina
::: spoiler Article
Tehran, April 9 (Prensa Latina) Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian stated today that the cessation of Israeli attacks against Lebanon is one of the essential conditions for maintaining the ceasefire agreement reached with the United States.
During a telephone conversation with his French counterpart, Emmanuel Macron, the Iranian president reiterated that halting Israeli military actions is part of a set of ten conditions included in the understanding between Tehran and Washington, according to Iranian state media reports.
Pezeshkian also emphasized the importance of France's role as one of the guarantors of the previous ceasefire in Lebanese territory, and asserted that his country acted responsibly in accepting the truce, demonstrating its commitment to regional peace and stability.
For his part, Macron thanked Iran for releasing two French citizens and considered the ceasefire declaration a significant step towards détente in the Middle East.
However, disagreements persist regarding the scope of the agreement. US President Donald Trump declared that Lebanon was excluded from the truce, which involves Iran and Israel, and attributed this to the actions of Hezbollah.
Since early Wednesday morning, Lebanon has been the scene of a large-scale Israeli offensive, leaving dozens dead and hundreds wounded, in what constitutes the largest attack since early March. These actions are occurring despite Iran, along with mediation efforts by Pakistan and the Speaker of the Lebanese Parliament, Nabih Berri, maintaining that Lebanon is part of the ceasefire agreement. In contrast, the Israeli army maintains that the Arab country is not included in the truce and has continued its military operations, while Hezbollah has declared its respect for the cessation of hostilities.
An official Lebanese source indicated that Beirut has not yet received clear confirmation of its inclusion in the agreement, while President Joseph Aoun is holding consultations to ensure it.
Previously, the Lebanese Presidency described the Israeli attacks as a “dangerous escalation” and a “new massacre” that threatens regional stability.
According to data available up to Tuesday, the Israeli offensive that began on March 2 left at least 1,530 dead, 4,812 wounded and more than one million displaced in Lebanon.
The conflict is set against a broader backdrop of historical tensions in the region, marked by the persistent Israeli occupation of Palestinian territories and parts of Lebanon and Syria, amid repeated international calls for a solution based on United Nations resolutions. :::
The Saudis could still be lying about capacity loss, but at least we now know that one of the pumping stations on the Yanbu pipeline & other locations were indeed hit. So the fires we were talking about previously were real. The ~700k pipeline loss isn't that big of a deal, since the bottleneck is in port throughput. The SAMREF (Yanbu) hit should directly decrease exports by ~400k tho, at least for a little bit.
https://x.com/timourazhari/status/2042311762343538808
https://x.com/Osinttechnical/status/2042311212256391309
https://x.com/DropSiteNews/status/2042323106367152430
Panama dismisses tensions with China over port issue - Prensa Latina
::: spoiler Article
Panama City, April 9 (Prensa Latina) Panamanian President José Raúl Mulino today dismissed tensions with China due to the detention of 92 Panamanian-flagged vessels and the temporary administration of two port terminals in the isthmus.
After touring the facilities of the Balboa port (Pacific) in this capital, after Panama Ports Company (PPC), of the Hong Kong-based CK Hutchinson conglomerate, lost the enclave concession, in addition to that of Cristóbal, in Colón (Atlantic), the president indicated that his Government is investigating that process of the detained ships.
In his usual weekly press conference, this time from the port of Balboa, Mulino asserted, however, that this situation "has nothing to do with political retaliation," but rather that "perhaps they want to intensify the inspection of ships from the point of view of maritime safety."
He acknowledged that this is an "unusual" situation and that, in order to understand the basis for the detentions, the Director of the Merchant Marine, Ramón Franco, is in Japan and upon his return to the country, the situation of the ships can be fully understood.
The president indicated that this is a process that is not only carried out in Chinese ports, and that it seeks to ensure that ships comply with all international maritime safety regulations.
"I've been looking at figures from other competing registries and they're not far below ours," he added, referring to other regions in similar situations.
The head of state reaffirmed that Panama is not seeking international confrontations, especially with China, but warned that he will not allow situations like these to continue indefinitely.
In that regard, he emphasized that the impact of these measures transcends the country and affects global trade, considering that a large part of maritime cargo comes from the Asian giant.
Nor are we going to allow these things to continue indefinitely because, more than the name of Panama, what is at stake is the global cargo, which obviously leaves China in large proportions to the rest of the world.
He further stated that, to the best of his knowledge, the detained vessels are not owned by any Panamanian company, as they are all world-class companies.
Furthermore, he expressed his expectation that the situation will tend to improve and return to normal, both politically and commercially.
He indicated that his administration has conveyed its concern through diplomatic channels, although he avoided mentioning any specific actions.
He also expressed confidence that Panama will obtain a favorable outcome in the New York arbitration courts, where part of the dispute is being heard.
In response to other questions from the media, Mulino defended the decision adopted on January 29 by the Executive after the Supreme Court ruling that declared the contract with PPC unconstitutional, assuring that the country has acted in accordance with the Constitution and without aligning itself with external interests.
He also explained that, during the transitional operation that will sustain the ports for 18 months, a set of conditions will be structured to guarantee a future concession under new terms. :::
Iran warns it is prepared for a prolonged war - Prensa Latina
::: spoiler Article
Tehran, April 9 (Prensa Latina) The Iranian army stated today that it is prepared to face a prolonged war should the ongoing negotiations with the United States fail, amid a regional scenario marked by tensions and a fragile ceasefire.
Iranian military spokesman Mohammad Akrami Nia told state television that Tehran forced its adversary to accept the truce thanks to its "firm stance," and stressed that the talks revolve around the conditions set by Iran.
“We are approaching the negotiation process with caution and hope for its success, but we are prepared for a prolonged war if it fails,” the spokesman said.
Akrami Nia further emphasized his country's distrust of the other side, noting that "the enemy has demonstrated its unreliability" both in the previous nuclear agreement and in earlier rounds of dialogue.
In that context, he assured that Iranian military preparations continue and that the armed forces maintain constant vigilance, ready to act in the event of any eventuality.
These statements come after Wednesday's announcement of a two-week temporary ceasefire between Washington and Tehran, mediated by Pakistan, as a preliminary step towards a possible agreement to end the conflict that began on February 28.
The announcement came shortly before the deadline set by US President Donald Trump, who had reiterated his demands to Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz and accept a deal, under the warning of serious consequences in case of non-compliance. :::
Slovenia joins Spain in calling for the suspension of the EU-Israel Association Agreement.
The consensus, outside Fox News, seems to be that Iran's military infrastructure can weather non-MAD-level bombardment (not wiping out the entire industrial infrastructure of the nation) for a long time, maybe years. Generally speaking, what publicly available information is that consensus based on? ~~What is conclusively known about Iran's military infrastructure, and~~ (I guess I'm not asking for an overview, which would be a pain in the ass to write) from what kinds of sources?
I get the general idea, they have sprawling underground missile cities, and I have seen some footage of them. But where are people getting specific information about them? Is there like a treasure trove of specs somewhere online?
The US fought the Taliban for 19 years, and lost. Iran is bigger, richer, and they control the vital artery of the global economy.
That is the gist of it.
That's true, but the Taliban weren't trying to maintain a substantial missile infrastructure, they were guerrillas picking off ground troops.
But that's a superior position for Iran. The Taliban weren't bombing US assets in neighboring countries to any significant degree.
That's true. Iran can dole out orders of magnitude more attrition than the Taliban ever could. But Iran's ability to keep doing that for a year or more depends on the resilience of their missile cities and their ability to resupply them, dig out the entrances after they are bombed, and other challenges like that. People far more knowledgeable than I seem pretty confident that Iran can indeed do that, and I believe it. I'm just wondering how they know that.
Think about how well the Yemeni Armed Forces are able to perform without being at worst being comparable to Ukraine in terms of population and millitary power.
But where are people getting specific information about them?
https://x.com/Pataramesh/status/2038304073338790008
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4H6WPXY3q7g
That is an amazingly detailed video. Iran has really made no secret of their setup. Makes it even more stunning that we are here now.
we got:
- blast traps and blast doors
- separation of liquid fuel components, solid fuel kept in long-term storage
- buried under mountains with hundreds of meters of solid rock above them
- kilometers of tunnels in a given complex
- enormous excavation drills that can bore new entrances through the rock
- tunnels near the edge of the mountain but invisible from outside, from which new exits can be quickly dug
- tunnels large enough for TELs (transporter erector launchers) to drive through, so they can pop out of holes wherever they are dug, launch their missiles, then immediately drive back into the complex and away from the hole
Guerrilla warfare with missiles is such an ingenious way of fighting.
I found a YouTube link in your comment. Here are links to the same video on alternative frontends that protect your privacy:
They have underground manufacturing capabilities.
They are very energy rich.
They gave a lot of minerals.
Someone made a post yesterday, about the revolution not being a dinner party that resonated with me. it reminded me of when I was a kid and ran a speed lab, at one time we were having trouble moving our product, and I was getting a bit anxious, and one of my associates told me " relax, we are not making ice cream here, we can't just go and peddle it on the street"
Sometimes you have to be patient.
Now as to the ceaseasfire, Iranian missile doctrine is about, precision strikes for area denial. Most of the strikes so far have had as the objective to make the fascists fly longer to do their bombing runs, this increases the logistical footprint and decreases the bombing rates. The destruction of the radars early on meant the Germans now have to fly their planes with the little saucer on top.
But Iran isn't going to defeat the Germans by trowing missiles at them, there is not enough volume, they would need to shoot 1000s of missiles a day instead of the 30 or so they are shooting.
Similarly even is the fascists could drop all their non nuclear bombs in Iran tomorrow, it wouldn't change a thing there are under 200 milllion kg of explosives in those bombs, what Russia spend in Ukraine in 2 or 3 months, and that has lasted a long time. Not to sound like a buzzard, but so far for Iran, the daily human and economic costs of the war are Les than those of covid during 20-21. And both pale in comparison to the underlying sanctions. Iran could drag this out indefinitely.
What does hurt the west is the closure of the straight. That does more damage than all the missiles. And it remains closed. Except now the costs of closing it are reduced. This is the important thing. Explosions are flashy, but very ineffective.
it reminded me of when I was a kid and ran a speed lab,
Even as a joke, you shouldn't post stuff that can incriminate you.
If its past the statute of limitation, it doesn't matter. Especially if paired with good opsec. Would just waste anyone's time trying to look into this to try to prosecute this and prevent them from doing anything worse/better with their time. Unless they are looking for evidence of that crime and accidentally come across actual evidence of a prosecutable crime.
It's still a good safety habit to have in general.
Waltuh, The revolution isn't a dinner party waltuh
relax, we are not making ice cream here, we can't just go and peddle it on the street
you can if you partner with a guy like tuco
The point was that it would have made our operation significantly more risky, vs just waiting a bit.
revolution not being a dinner party
you might already know, but just in case for anyone else, this is a Mao quote
https://en.natopedia.org/wiki/Revolution_is_not_a_dinner_party
Is the speed lab a Sonic the hedgehog quote?
gotta go fast
I kinda disagree, germans did not have any place elsewhere to go. that is not the case for iSSraelis. I really doubt anyone will stay if some power plants or desalination plants are destroyed. iran already has justification for this. there is still plenty of fragile high value targets that will hurt them
And the German enclave in the levant, is a lot smaller than actual Germany or Ukraine, but it's still a very large place, powerplants can be repaired if you have enough money, and even if you don't, you can scrape here and there. They can import what they need from the rest of the fascists powers.
Iran can make and launch 30 missiles a day, that's a relatively manageable amount of damage.
I agree that most will return to their homeland after this. But not immediately, it will be a long process.
https://xcancel.com/ripplebrain/status/2042242712246661589
Here's my best guess at what's going on right now. Iran and Israel are in a game of diplomatic chicken, each trying to fracture the other's military coalition. The Israelis want to either continue the broader war or reduce it in scope by forcing the Iranians to abandon Hezbollah. The Iranians are attempting to exert pressure on the US to restrain Israel and withdraw from the war, while trying to isolate Israel internationally.
Much of the commentariat on here is focused on the Iranians 'revealing their weakness' by not immediately launching a counterattack on Israel. This doesn't make much sense to me. The Iranians almost immediately played their strongest non-escalatory card by re-closing the strait. Doing so exerts pressure on the US, not on Israel, which shows the Iranians understand the fundamental reality of the power structure they're up against. The Israelis can only be stopped by forcing the US to restrain them, or taking huge escalatory steps that have a good chance of leading to Israeli nuclear strikes on Iran (desalination plants, energy infrastructure). The closure of the strait denies Trump any claim to a military victory and compounds the economic damage that's already inevitable at this point.
Meanwhile, there's been a flurry of diplomatic activity from Iran. Spain and South Korea are making moves by reopening their embassy in Iran and sending a special envoy to Tehran, respectively. A increasingly long list of countries have made public statements over the past day demanding Lebanon be covered by the ceasefire. Araghchi has been calling everyone in the region over the past 24 hours, and the UAE has publicly condemned the Israeli strikes on Lebanon (very surprising). These are good signs for Iran, which can achieve major gains in Israel's international isolation by capitalizing on their breaking of the ceasefire.
Even better are the signs of the normalization of relations with the rest of the world. If this continues, it'll demonstrate how fundamentally effective the Iranian strategy has been in this war. If they can secure broad international recognition of their right to control and impose tolls on passage through the strait, it'll be a massive victory. The continued closure of the strait, which the Iranians have made clear is the fault of Israel, will drive a wedge into the coalition currently fighting Iran.
The Iranians have made dozens of statements asserting they will not abandon Lebanon. And I don't think it's politically tenable (internally) for them to do so even if they wanted to. The Israelis aren't doing particularly well in their ground war against Hezbollah either.
So we'll have to wait to see how this plays out. It's not impossible that the Iranians are in a weakened position, or that they'll lose their nerve. But I don't see any reason to assume this is the case as long as the strait remains closed. The current situation is a pressure cooker for the US/Israeli relationship, and the American relationship with the rest of the world. Iranian patience makes sense here.
Even if the US, Israel, and mediators like Pakistan are entirely perfidious and only negotiating in bad faith, the Iranians have potentially enormous diplomatic gains to make here. It would be foolish and premature not to take advantage of the situation just to bomb Israel a day or a week earlier. The Israelis can take more bombing and survive. A full, long-term strategic defeat of Israel is only possible through the destruction of its relationship with the rest of the world, which is well underway.
This doesn't make much sense to me. The Iranians almost immediately played their strongest non-escalatory card by re-closing the strait.
Even some amongst the anti-Islamic Republic protesters say to me - "how could Iran be backing down if they did that? Iran is in a winning position here."
closing the strait feels (diplomatically speaking) less like violating a ceasefire than firing does, even if it's actually a bigger escalation realistically
Well yeah, it was explicitly part of the ceasefire that they retained the rights to toll it, so it seems pretty well according the all the unspoken rules that they closed it once it was broken!
One is stopping a few ships (which the US is also currently doing with Cuba), the other is unambiguously murdering 500 civilians.
So its an indefensible warcrime weighed against something the US actively downplays.
Good choice by Iran all things considered.
it's also reasserting as existing material fact one of the things any deal will have to politically ratify - that Iran controls Hormuz. "in case y'all forgot"
Exactly, it helps emphasize a reality that can't be ignored anymore. It's why multiple countries are now in the process of re-establishing ties with Iran in order to gain access to the Strait.
::: spoiler Tweet So what is actually happening with the ceasefire?
- Pakistan, assisted by Turkey brokered a ceasefire
- Iran aware of the Pakistani Defense-Pact with Saudi and how unpopular for the Pakistani people it would be to side with 🇮🇱-🇺🇸 ➡️ promised to not break it by going kinetic
- Israel exploited its leverage on Trump for face-saving action against Lebanon
- Iran went for a 'soft-kill' by keeping the Strait of Hormuz closed, with time ticking for world economy
Neighbourly relations means that Iran has to play chess here instead using the hammer ➡️ The brotherhood with Hezbollah certainly means that Iran would go full counter-value against 🇮🇱 if Hezbollah requested it. But I'm sure Hezbollah being chess players themselves knows exactly what it is doing, fully aware of the Strait of Hormuz time/market dynamics
➡️ The bare minimum for AoR folks is to realize that Iran is risking re-engaging with a superpower for Lebanon. Amazing some don't even realize that... :::
The bare minimum for AoR folks is to realize that Iran is risking re-engaging with a superpower for Lebanon. Amazing some don't even realize that...
Lebanon engaged with a superpower for Iran. Amazing how quick some people forget that.
Lebanon engaged with a superpower for Iran.
Sheikh Naim Qassem, Secretary-General of Hezbollah literally said the opposite of this when Hezbollah entered the field on March 2. He explained it as a defensive act against 15 months of ceasefire violations.
Your narrative that Hezbollah is Iran's proxy is zionist propaganda.
I never said that. I'm sorry if I was too brief. Of course it was right for Hezbollah to do defend in the way they did and still do and it is the right thing for Lebanon too. But they did it for Iran too. And for Gaza.The zionists are fascists who need constant war and can't stop by themselves, even if it destroys them. They need to be stopped from the outside. It's a shared struggle among many people.
No Hezbollah did not "do it for Iran." Reread their statements.
On October 8 2023, Hezbollah was very clear they were in defense of Gaza. Go watch martyr Hassan Nasrallah's speeches from that time.
When the zionists invaded Lebanon in 2024, they were very clear that the purpose of battle was in defense of Lebanon. "In defense of Lebanon and her people..."
When Hezbollah entered the battle again in 2026 they clarified it was response to 15 months ceasefire violations, "in defense of Lebanon and her people," and for the assasination of the Wali al Faqih, Sayed Ali Khamenei.
It is the enemy media like MTV in Lebanon and al Jazeera that spread lies trying to damage Hezbollah legitimacy and turn Christians and Sunnis against Hezbollah by saying that israeli child-killers are attacking Lebanon because Hezbollah was "defending Iran" rather than defending Lebanese sovereignty.
You might think it is not a difference, but right now there are Shia refugees from the South who are turned away from support and housing based on this lie. Its the basis of the "disarmament plan" proposed by Nawaf Salaam and cronies. It is dangerous and incorrect and it is our responsibility to clarify this point.
I know about the refugees. Thankfully, many people in Lebanon do not turn them away, no matter their confession. And you're right, "Israel" would have continued to attack Lebanon anyway and Hezbollah is defending all of Lebanon, not only the Shia. It's good, that you made all those points and I agree. All I'm saying is, that it is one fight. The empire wants to devide the resistance. It's important for Iran to be in solidarity with Lebanon.
—❗️🇮🇷/🇺🇸/🇮🇱/🇱🇧 Iranian Foreign Ministry Spokesperson:
‘A delegation from Iran will travel to the peace talks in Islamabad today, but will participate only if Israel stops its attacks on Lebanon.
Any peace in the region must include Lebanon, and the coming hours will be decisive to see if Israel can be restrained.
Iran was on the verge of responding last night but refrained to make room for additional diplomacy.’
@Middle_East_Spectator
How is Iran still so naive that diplomacy will work against the Greater and Little Satan?
Iran was on the verge of responding last night but refrained to make room for additional diplomacy.’
This is why the US and Israel engage in this fake diplomacy and perfidy. Exactly this reason. Iran repeatedly rewards perfidy, then gets upset when it happens again. Homie, you've now enabled an incentive structure which rewards killing your negotiators. It really is baffling.
I mean, I trust the Iranian state's ability to repair its infrastructure and recuperate its military capabilities in whatever perfidious phase of pseudo-peace we'll be enjoying for a few weeks at most. The capabilities of Israel and the Great Satan are much harder to replenish in that time, especially when their largest means of reprieve was shut off after only 2 ships got through.
The number of F-35s and F-16s will stay the same. The number of C130s will stay the same. The number of refuelling tankers will stay the same. The number of interceptors might increase by an insignificant amount.
The number of Shaheds will increase. The number of combat capable missile cities will increase. The number of damaged buildings will decrease. The number of Israeli soldiers in coffins will increase.
The war is by no means frozen, nor is it resolved "ante bellum". There's no material way to undo what has been done, nor what will come.
I'm not sure that Iran thinks the imperialists are acting in good faith. There are other reasons to go through these motions.
Yeah agree I can also see a few diplomatic or military reasons why they're playing along for now too. This doesn't feel as definite as some of the other diplomatic concessions/actions Iran has made before.
It's hard to guess what their reasoning is when we're not in an IRGC situation room. I figure, whatever their reasons, we'll really only see if they made the right choices once the results play out.
Which... feels like an overgenerous thing for me to say while seeing what's happening to Lebanon but idk what kind of dialogue is going between Hezbollah and Iran as far as that part of the decision making goes. Maybe they reached a concesus that this will still save more lives in the end and that it's worth the risk? I haven't seen info on that so I'm in no place to assume motives though.
I mean, they have to try. They have shown their might and their willingness to fight, but the only other end of this war is basically MAD. Sure, Iran can continue to destroy everyone's infrastructure in the region, but they also won't have anything left at the end of that. I think they will if they are forced to, but I can't really say I blame them for trying. Things are different this time, they have proven that they can and will fight. They've proven that they can and will completely shut down the regional economy. They have proven they can and will strike back and strike back hard at anyone who attacks them. MAD is not good for anyone though, including Iran. Now that they've proven they can achieve MAD, it's entirely possible they're hoping that gives them enough leverage for serious negotiation.
I don't think it's going to go the way they want it to, but I can't really fault them for trying.
GOOD take. I will eat my own shoe if the Epstein axis is actually these negotiations seriously though...
How is Iran still so naive that diplomacy will work against the Greater and Little Satan?
Every single war ends in some kind of negotiation. They have the upper hand now.
Every single negotiation with the US where Israel is involved ends up with your negotiators getting killed.
How do you think this war ends otherwise? With Iranian troops in Washington, raising the Iranian flag over the White House? There has to be some kind of negotiated end to the conflict at some point.
With Iranian troops in Washington, raising the Iranian flag over the White House?
raising the Iranian flag over the White House
if we're dreaming...
I think all the online ultras are planning a coordinated overthrow of all the western governments, just waiting for the right moment to strike...
Unfortunately they are not so coordinated.
the alternative is eternal war
USA can't sustain this for even two years. maybe not even six months. but I see what you are saying in your reply to marxisthayaca
They don't need to bomb them daily to make life hell in Iran. They just need to regularly kill people, not daily but weekly or even monthly. I'm just getting tired of all the armchair generals who imagine they have all the same facts as the IRGC and they're just smarter than the Iranians or something. It's driving me insane.
I feel you, and sorry if I inadvertently contributed to it. I'm feeling pretty unmoored myself and it's hard to manage lately
Lol America will go into the stone age without an energy supply, petrochemicals, fertilizers, helium for chips, liquid natural gas, and regents for pharmaceuticals.
Lol America will go into the stone age without an energy supply, petrochemicals, fertilizers, helium for chips, liquid natural gas, and regents for pharmaceuticals.
america is at the very least close to self-sufficient in all of those, and mostly don't use the strait for their imports except urea
prices would still go into the stratosphere though, and amerikkkans can't stand being out of treats
except urea
The US needs to have a 'great leap forward', except instead of backyard steel, it's backyard piss harvesting.
Do your part!
America is a net importer of crude oil, about 3 to 3.3 mbpd
USA imports heavy sour and exports light sweet, ~~and doesn't have enough refining capacity for light sweet to meet needs~~
EDIT: I'm not clear enough on the details of the refining mismatch so I'm striking this through until I research enough to understand it better
it's true about the heavy vs light part, but that's only because its refineries are set to work with oil that is on the heavy side (just like ur mum lmao), and right now it still makes more financial sense to do this trade than to convert the whole industry. what i'm trying to say is that it wouldn't be apocalyptic for the US, just expensive and time consuming. which is still really bad ofc
So will plenty of other places, and Iran will have suffered further bombing. It's very easy to demand Iran commit themselves and never negotiate from behind a keyboard or phone screen.
This is surely as much about Iran's image internationally and in the UN as it is anything else. Iran is doing everything it can to be the "reasonable", restrained party.
I said "it sounds like you're just feeding delegations to American attacks" and then Pezeshkian's assistant started crying
They might be under intense pressure from China.
are these fucking ringa dinga ass WW2 jeeps???
Hard to tell what specifically but it looks similar to 4x4 vehicles the US uses like the MRZR:
I love the evolution of more armor to protect our storm troopers from IEDs to no armor to make it go faster (and cause dead soldiers are cheaper than disabled vets).
Idk, my source for the above is but that's the level of cruelty I've come to expect from the Greater and Lesser Satan
US GDP growth falls from 4.4% to 0.5% in Q4 2025, well below the initially expected +2.8% growth.
Bu-but my new data center was supposed to bring in at least 1000% growth :(
Is this winning
I want you to meet my friend, Stag Flation.
It looks like a US Navy MQ-4C Triton drone crashed or was shot down somewhere over the Persian Gulf. Ouch, there goes ~$200 million. Hope Iran gets to it first!
https://xcancel.com/bonzerbarry/status/2042236686273261924
- Hezbollah publishes footage of their cruise missile strike on an israeli (british?) warship.
- Hezbollah has bombed the northern settlements over 15 times today.
- NYT: Though the cease-fire was announced late on Tuesday Eastern time, Wednesday saw the lowest ship traffic through the Strait of Hormuz since late March.
- Pezeshkian: Israel's renewed incursion into Lebanon is a blatant violation of the initial ceasefire agreement. This is a dangerous sign of deception and lack of commitment to potential agreements. The continuation of these actions will render negotiations meaningless. Our fingers remain on the trigger. Iran will never abandon its Lebanese sisters and brothers.
- Hezbollah has launched around 50 rockets into the northern settlements so far today.
- Reuters: NATO Sec Gen has told several countries that Trump wants concrete commitments to help secure the Strait of Hormuz.
- Trump: NATO won’t understand anything unless they have pressure placed upon them!!!
- An MQ-4C squawked 7700 over the gulf and rapidly descended.
NYT: Though the cease-fire was announced late on Tuesday Eastern time, Wednesday saw the lowest ship traffic through the Strait of Hormuz since late March.
Well, that's one way of saying only two (2) ships passed through the strait.
I feel like we should call it Epstein time
WTI back above $100 after dipping below $92 on the "ceasefire" news
Nothing to see here folks, just capitalism being the most efficient economic system ever devised. You can really feel the Free Hand's work at play here.
I genuinely don't understand this. I understand the market manipulation but there's a hard commodity underwriting this number and that commodity is going to be more scarce given the recent destruction.
One thing to remember is that WTI Crude is a futures trade, so they were betting on the ceasefire lowering oil prices in 1-2 months, or whenever it's dated for. Still shortsighted and irrational, but not quite as bad as it looks.
Yep look at dated brent
https://www.cnbcafrica.com/2026/european-african-crude-oil-prices-hit-records-on-supply-disruptions-despite-ceasefire
Also, the oil futures market is still in heavy backwardization ie spot prices are much higher than futures prices implying supply constraints and everyone wanting oil now. The markup is due to "convenience yield."
Edit: and this backwardization doesn't happen much with financial asset futures ie foreign currencies and bonds (see CIP) , stocks and some commodities like gold and bitcoin. With those, futures>spot because the main cost is financing. You don't need a stock or a bond NOW (these are electronic entries which can always be transferred and you will almost always find traders for) in the way you need crude oil as a refiner (immediate use value).
Yep look at dated brent
WTI midland physical deliveries even more highly priced (at least in europe). Is WTI vs Brent premium related to sour/sweet/heavy/light differences of other logistics that mean they could get the WTI slight faster?
U.S. WTI Midland crude delivered to Europe traded at a $20.70 premium to dated Brent on Wednesday, also the highest ever.
10-15% drop in prices after 2 ships go through based on a flimsy ceasefire is impressive. I supposed the "rational market" explanation would be people didn't think USrael/Iran would even be willing go to a negotiation table for a while, so them taking steps in that direction mean they were overestimating the constraint this war would have? As far as shortages, price go up until some people are priced out of it and that's efficient markets! Surely it'll be just wasteful processes, like luxury products and AI, and not things like people's heating to get through Winter that the S. hemisphere is about to enter...
the supply shocks for fertilizer and plastics are going to cause enormous disruption. and diesel is going to increase cost for everything
Well, the market will efficiently handle that too. We'll ~~use grain that was going to feed cows and just feed people instead~~ just let people starve.
Not sure how bad the sulfur shocks will be, but that's also used for making a lot of metals like copper. There's also the aluminum that was disrupted and most smelting still uses fossil fuels AFAIK.
What no materialism does to a mother fucker. These people live in a in world where everything is commensurate with the all-mighty dollar. Simply being willing to pay enough makes things accessible according to their logic, and all is right in the world when the cash can flow.
It's genuinely delusional. It's why the US still thinks it can somehow arm itself and maintain an aggressive position in the world despite having little to no manufacturing capacity. That's not a supply chain issue, a matter of technical knowledge that can't be bought, a matter of capital investment over years if not decades: it's all just an accounting problem to these freaks.
"Wow, number in my bank account high- I must be really rich! I could buy anything!"
No you bug eating radlib Karen freak! You're only as free as your market is! And it's constrained by actual material reality!
This is the opposite of being able to pay enough gets you anything. This is someone saying "i will give you the promise to sell you oil by x date at some price, you would be a fool to pay more than that" and the other guy going "he seems trustworthy, even if he makes a loss I win more money"
This causes shortages for people who would otherwise would be able to pay extra, like the japanese, occupied Koreans or countries in Europe, etc.
The Caspian Sea has an increased amount of shipping RUSHING towards & from IRAN, since the ceasefire. Shipping slowed down after attacks on 1 of the ports.
https://x.com/CeciliaSykala/status/2042018719711555882
https://xcancel.com/EGYOSINT/status/2042143091428053397
Two active heat signatures were detected yesterday at U.S. Army Camp Buehring in Kuwait, indicating ongoing fires at those locations at the time inside the camp, likely resulting from Iranian strikes. After the ceasefire, Kuwait was targeted by four ballistic missiles and 42 kamikaze drones, so the fires at Camp Buehring could possibly be linked to some of those strikes.
this is one of my favorite ever ceasefires, because of all the fires
~~cease~~start-a-lot-of-fires
The Italian government condemned Israeli attacks on UN troops in Lebanon - Prensa Latina
::: spoiler Article
Rome, April 9 (Prensa Latina) Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni spoke out against the recent Israeli attack on Italian troops serving with the United Nations Interim Force in Lebanon (UNIFIL), according to a statement released today.
A note published on the official website of the Presidency of the Council of Ministers indicates that Meloni strongly condemned what happened in the south of the Arab country, where an Italian convoy belonging to UNFIL, clearly identifiable as such, was targeted by Israeli army fire.
“The Italian army is in Lebanon under a mandate from the United Nations Security Council and is acting in the interest of maintaining peace,” the text emphasizes, adding that it is unacceptable for personnel operating under the UN flag to be exposed to the risk of attacks.
Given these events, which violate UN Resolution 1001, Israel must clarify what happened, said the Prime Minister, who stressed that the ceasefire agreed between Iran, the United States and Israel should represent an opportunity to end the war in Lebanon.
In this regard, the document adds that Israel's continued attacks against Italy, "which have already caused too many deaths and an unacceptable number of displaced persons, must cease immediately," reiterating the need to "guarantee the safety of Italian soldiers and the entire UNFIL contingent."
For his part, the Italian Foreign Minister, Antonio Tajani, held a telephone exchange the day before, shortly after these events, with his counterparts from Kuwait, Jarrah Jaber Al-Ahmad Al-Sabah; and Algeria, Ahmed Attaf, in which he addressed this issue.
During those talks, Tajani stressed that Rome welcomed the announcement of the two-week truce between Iran and the United States, and emphasized that the priority now is to consolidate this outcome through a permanent cessation of hostilities and the achievement of a peace agreement.
The Italian Foreign Minister stated that the military operations in Israel and Lebanon are generating concern about the stability of the truce and referred in particular to the Israeli aggression against the Italian UNFIL convoy, while also noting that the recent attacks by Tel Aviv against civilians risk undermining the truce.
On April 8, a Lince armored vehicle, with Italian personnel on board, which had just left the Shama base, bound for Beirut, was hit by shots from the Israeli army, to block its advance.
Italy's Defense Minister, Guido Crosetto, urged the United Nations to "intervene urgently with the Israeli authorities to clarify the incident."
Crosetto proposed that all necessary measures should be taken to guarantee the safety of the Italian contingent and all UNFIL personnel, and to firmly reaffirm respect for the mandate and the protection that United Nations peacekeeping forces deserve. :::
not going to actually do anything tho
Iranian analyst suggests Israel may escalate to pull U.S. into war, but doubts Trump will join. An account reported to be close to Iranian parliament speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf said Israel could carry out new operations in the coming hours aimed at drawing the United States back into conflict with Iran. The assessment adds that President Trump is likely to stay out of direct involvement, leaving Israel to confront Iran and its regional allies without U.S. intervention.
“This is one of the best possible scenarios,” the analysis says.
If the US left Israel to fend for itself for the first time in history, the US would be flooded with Israeli terrorists within a month.
I'm talking Israel sponsored 9/11
I'm talking Israel sponsored 9/11
so just regular 9/11 then?
jokes aside you're right, it shure would trigger blowback like never before, though that would arguably play right into the national security states' hands, as they then could easily lay the blame onto some random rabinowicz and pretend like zionist terror is something uniquely and intrinsically jewish, instead of the outgrowth of western imperialism and colonialism that it is. zionism and and reactionary anti-semitism have long been two sides of the same coin anyway and the ruling class always needs people to blame someone other than itself.
never bet against "Israeli" bloodlust and stupidity
China suspends rare earth export control measures - Prensa Latina
::: spoiler Article
Beijing, April 9 (Prensa Latina) The spokesman for China's Ministry of Commerce, He Yadong, confirmed today that export control measures for rare earth elements will be suspended until November 2026.
According to the spokesman, the suspension of the measures extends until November 10 in line with the Kuala Lumpur consensus, reached between the negotiating delegations of the United States and China.
He Yadong noted that both sides will maintain communication through the trade consultation mechanism and that issues of mutual interest will be addressed continuously.
Rare earth elements are strategic minerals essential for the production of advanced technologies, and their trade represents a key point in the economic relations between Beijing and Washington.
Chinese exports of rare earth elements increased by 12.9 percent throughout 2025.
The Asian giant accounts for around 60 percent of the world's production of these minerals, which are essential for the manufacture of semiconductors, electronic devices, wind turbines and electric cars. :::
what you don't like when our allies give up all their leverage for nothing? DO YOU WANT CHINESE TO DIE YOU ULTRA?!?
Does this actually change things materially? I remember seeing an article about Chinese exports of metals such as titanium being rejected or delayed indefinitely despite them being "open" to American businesses. it was meant to be a mechanism to restrict exports without declaring it through legislation, but this news item could be relating to that policy?
Venezuelan Interim President Delcy Rodriguez Speech Highlights:
Venezuelan Acting President Delcy Rodríguez gave a televised address earlier with some significant announcements on upcoming reforms. We'll have a report soon, and follow-up content once those reforms are in motion, but here's the gist of it;
The most important announcement was an upcoming reform to the country's Labor Law. Approved in 2012, this is an absolute pillar of Chávez's legacy. But the private sector has upped complaints that present labor rights are too onerous and more flexibility is in order.
As an aside, the Venezuelan gov't in recent years, under sanctions, has prioritized non-wage bonuses and kept wages frozen and devalued to almost nothing. In her speech, Rodríguez criticized past wage increases that were "irresponsible" and caused inflation. She announced an increase for May Day but it's likely to be bonuses, not salaries.
Other announcements included a reform to the existing pension system, with Rodríguez claiming that there isn't a large enough contributing workforce at the moment for the retiree population. She also added that the private sector contributes very little compared to the state.
There will also be a fiscal reform which may go in many different directions. Small businesses have expressed concerns about too heavy fiscal demands. At the same time, foreign corporations (e.g. oil) have also expressed wishes for reduced taxes.
Rodríguez additionally announced a reform to the country's housing laws (also a demand from the real estate sector) and a commission to evaluate which state assets are "strategic" and which are not. Though she did not say it, it's a fair guess that the latter will be privatized.
Finally, the acting president announced a "national pilgrimage," beginning on Independence Day April 19, and extending all over the country, to demand the lifting of US sanctions.
Privatization sucks but idk how I'd act if I was a Venezuelan politician. They just don't have the brute force to withstand US oppression. Cuba is being strangled to death in front of our eyes and I can't blame Venezuela for not wanting the same fate.
Every socialist country in the world should just give up. America is too strong. Why even try right?
I live in the West. I'm not gonna scoff at Venezuela for not wanting to get starved and/or carpet bombed for the glory of the revolution while I'm sitting on my ass in the comfort of my home.
this type of moralism doesn't change the death of socialism this logic entails if everyone follows through on it. Yet I'm the "doomer" for wanting socialists to engage in class struggle, and all of the defeatists pre-emptively forfeiting without a fight because it's "hopeless to oppose the USA" are not apparently.
I'm really starting to see how the rot was able to set in the Chinese revolution and USSR, with the excuses that revisionist people make even when actions taken are diametrically opposed to socialism. The leadership is always right, even when they're privatizing everything and handing over natural resources to imperialists. This is how you get Gorbachev and Yeltsin.
It is important to remember that alongside things like this, there are also communes and community organizations being directly funded by the government to do the work that they are deciding to do in their respective fields. The power of any revolution is and always has been in the masses of people that keep it alive on the streets, so as long as the administration continues promoting their revolutionary tradition, calling for the release of the presidential captives and lifting of sanctions, allowing these autonomous community formations to proliferate (and suppress reactionaries as they have been known to do), as well as funding those same formations with whatever profits they are beginning to remake, the basis of the nation isn't being forced to change. The form of the economic law and diplomatic rhetoric is being forced to change from external pressure but the content of the nation isn't being forced to change via internal or external contradictions.
Politicians are spending more on campaign security
Federal campaign and political action committee spending on security during the 2024 election cycle was over five times the amount spent ahead of the 2016 election, according to a new report published on Thursday.
I mean, Trump was shot once and then shortly after they found a different guy with a rifle at his golf-palace, so it makes sense that the ghouls would get a little spooked. ALso a lot of them seem to enjoy cosplaying as scared little public servants, so I don't think a lot of them cares about having to spend more on "security".
It doesn't help that companies like Palantir and Flock make money when they get the politicians scared to go outside. A rube that's afraid for their life because a bunch of lobbyists told them they're getting death threats are more likely to sell our privacy down the river.
China creates Inner Mongolia Free Trade Zone - Prensa Latina
::: spoiler Article
Beijing, April 9 (Prensa Latina) China today announced the creation of the Inner Mongolia Free Trade Zone, a strategic decision to promote opening up and high-quality development.
The Central Committee and the Council of State issued the General Plan establishing this new free zone. The document states that the initiative seeks to deepen the comprehensive reform and promote high-level openness.
The scheme is guided by "Xi Jinping Thought on Socialism with Chinese Characteristics for a New Era" and is aligned with the objectives of the 15th Five-Year Plan period.
The text grants the zone greater powers for innovation and prior experimentation, as well as the establishment of 19 reform measures in areas such as border trade and international logistics.
The initiative aims to increase the efficiency of applying technological results and seeks to expand foreign exchange in multiple sectors.
Inner Mongolia will consolidate itself as a center for information exchange and logistics; the area will function as a key bridge for the national opening to the north.
The document emphasizes the Party's comprehensive leadership in building the free zone and underscores the importance of strengthening supervision and ensuring national security.
The scheme promotes green development and the protection of the ecological barrier and urges regional authorities to establish an efficient and transparent management system.
In addition, the inter-ministerial mechanism will coordinate the implementation of the reform tasks.
The Inner Mongolia Free Trade Zone is located in a strategic border region with Mongolia and Russia, and is integrated into the Belt and Road Initiative to strengthen Eurasian economic cooperation. :::
Saudi Aramco declined to comment on the status of the east to west yanbu pipeline to CNN.
Apparently threatening genocide is a bridge too far for the Australian government but doing it isn't
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2026-04-09/trump-iran-albanese-response/106544288
Some milquetoast criticism from the lapdogs down under the table begging for scraps.
More evidence liberals are more concerned with aesthetics than substance.
Moniz warns at 60 per cent enrichment, the uranium can still be used to make a nuclear explosive device.
"The Hiroshima weapon in 1945," he told 7:30, "did not have weapons-grade uranium, and it caused a very bad day in Hiroshima."
Yeah and who dropped that weapon, Moniz, who dropped that weapon
Non white countries need to see liberalism as what it is, the propaganda arm of global imperialism. This is why I will always respect north Korea for getting a nuclear bomb and protecting themselves and their people. Sure it's no model for leftism but does that even matter when survival against the capitalist death machine has to come first. Because these liberals that espouse the never implemented human rights and international law won't think twice about killing non white people (and tbh white people as well, but possibly with a tinge of regret, since they are racials supremacists and white people are their peasants of choice) if it is in their material interests. Or if being against genocide affects their treats train.
Because these liberals that espouse the never implemented human rights and international law won't think twice about killing non white people (and tbh white people as well, but possibly with a tinge of regret, since they are racials supremacists and white people are their peasants of choice)
This is interesting. In Canada, especially during the Fenian revolt in the US, Irish people were actually considered less human than slaves or black people. As written by Canadian undercover agent Thomas Beach (op name Henri Le Caron) who infiltrated the Fenian movement up to the highest echelons. His correspondence to Ottawa is incredibly vulgar and Savage towards the Irish. But that's probably just because he was operating amongst the Irish. I'm certain this wouldn't be the case were he in a position squashing slave revolts. But nonetheless... This pattern repeats itself across Canadian history with the French, Irish, Italians, Jews, Slavs and Germans. Of course, this was at a time when the anglo empire was still expanding across the world but there wasn't a single instance where this state sanctioned racism towards whites was undertaken with any kind of hesitation or regret. Of course, it is different now, and Clanada is very much a white supremacist state but historically what was considered "white" has shifted quite a bit just within the context of a single colonial entity. And I have no doubt it would shift again.
Edit: An immediate contemporary example that jumps to mind is the dehumanizing of Russians amongst western liberals. Of course, Russia is very ethnically diverse and not a monolithic European state but most westerners just think of Russians as mostly white color wise. Also LGTBQ+ people or leftists (tankies). all of which are subjected to politically motivated violence and harassment without much pushback from amongst liberals.
So then, what is the primary aspect of this contradiciton between Anglo-American speaking whites (in Canada since that is what I have done the most reading on) and other groups? I can only broadly point to the domination of finance capital first from the British empire and then the subsequent emergence of the American empire. Which Canada had seamlessly transitioned towards following WW2.
Yeah it's a really interesting topic and it's easy to reduce capitalist imperialism to a purely "racial" project but "race" seems to merely function as a triage of sorts as to who is expendable and at what time. And there is an interplay. For example Saudi Arabia is of higher priority than Ukraine, but the Zionazi entity is of far more importance than Saudi Arabia even if it is of less resource or material utility than Saudi Arabia. Almost always though, the superficial bond or solidarity that is formed based on "race" is just irrelevant when material interests collide. And this topic just hasn't been adequately studied, at least to my knowledge. And having been listening a lot to Gabriel Rockhill and basically his examination of how western academia is essentially compromised, you can guess why it hasn't been studied.
When my mum (Slav) arrived in aus she was called all sorts of slurs. The settling of Australia itself was in part an act of attempted ethnic cleansing of Irish people that were supposedly inherently criminal.
Whiteness is a concept that has been slowly extended to different groups (e.g. Greeks, Slavs, Italians, Irish) as the ruling class have needed to recruit more soldiers in their struggle to preserve their privilege.
9Yeah exactly, 100%. In Canada, when it was in the process of ethnically cleansing the western plains of the indigenous people it offered free land to "white" European colonizers to settle and homestead. Slavs (who were considered lazy and dumb) were excluded from this entirely with the Canadian state preferring Germans and British citizens because of their "inherent productivity." Then, when the flow of immigrants slowed down they all of a sudden reversed course on their rhetoric regarding slavs and encouraged them to immigrate to western Canada. Then, with the build-up to WW1 Germans were no longer considered white but cunning "huns" (evoking an image of savage asiatic hordes) who were trying to destroy Canada from within and some actually had their land seized and given to Slavic settlers.
Yes, Clanada is a full onion article. A full onion encyclopedia, actually.
Australia is the little brother of the Great Satan and the unholy offspring of TERF island. You should never expect that country to be anything other than an Anglo lapdog unless a literal communist revolution happens there.
unless a literal communist revolution happens there
Don't worry, I'm sure Aleksa from i did a thing is homoerotically building communism in his shed with Boy Boy as we speak
Alexa and Alex are just
Can't help but hope my people will be better though. We are substantially diverse now, the white Australia policy was thankfully a failure.
There's substantial political tention between the non Anglo groups and the ailing aristocracy clinging to the myth of an england down south.
not news tho
My theory is they needed to act quickly to prevent the lid from blowing off - everyone and their grandma was posting and talking about Trump's call to genocide. Even otherwise "apoltical" types I know were reposting it. Today I overheard 2 separate conversations about it at the store. It seems to me they BS'd a ceasefire as a pressure release valve, so folks would think "oh a ceasefire? No need to protest anymore..." In fact at the protest I went to today, a woman I spoke with said her friend told her exactly that.
I bet they do something this weekend after the market closes. Either that or maybe we see Iran bombing Israel, US keeps supplying it but without infrastructure the country collapses. US probably still has hundreds of cruise missiles left but shit is running low. It would be a way to back off from further petrochem supply chain damage + Bab el-Mandeb closure. I do wonder if seeing the damage continue to roll through the markets spurs the US into another stupid hail mary. They are insane, after all. I almost forgot how insane they were due to ignoring the DC play-by-play, so I now have a big post it on the 'puter saying US INSANE ANYTHING POSSIBLE. 👍 We'll see!
I guess the war will kick back off on Saturday after Vance insults their attire and then tries and fails to call Trump
sending vance to the negotiations will convince Israel to fight America
Theory: if he’s sending Vance, it’s because he wants negotiations to fail.
Trump would never hand his VP a win. He will only ever give his VP an L.
The Iranians asked for Vance last week, Kushner and Witkoff, the usual pair of zionists they send to talk to any Muslim leadership, have lost all credibility by being fronts for the sneak attacks. Traditionally you would move up the ladder like this because the VP's say has more political weight and you can expect it to actually be followed through on. I've got a bridge to sell them if they think Vance is less perfidious than anyone else in the cabinet, though
They shouldn't trusty slimeball Vance by any means, however, Vance has kept his had down through a lot of this war, and is probably going to want to run in 2028. He is more motivated to actually get a result, but that's only in relative terms to the other guys.
Trump would never hand his VP a win. He will only ever give his VP an L.
Damn, so simple yet something I never thought about until now lol
That phone call was so funny I can absolultely picture Trump staring at the phone vibrating on his desk like this and intentionally not answering
p a t h e t i c
if lebanon continues to be bombed it should kick off instantly. What is this shit. Why does Lebanon have to eat everyone's sins now after Gaza? Why is this tolerated? Iran?!?
AP News is reporting that the Farsi and English versions of the ceasefire were different, with only the Farsi one containing the "acceptance of enrichment" portion. AP is blaming Iran here but I have seen other sources claiming Pakistan is to blame.
Twitter link because the article is just a live thread
It seems not credible that the translators would just miss that bit.
Like, that’s not some finely nuanced language that can be interpreted in subtle ways.
I can't read farsi and I'm pretty sure I saw the Iranian version
The sitcom episode going on in Islamabad:
"Drake?"
"Josh."
"Where did you put English version of the first draft?"
"I put it in the final draft envelope and sent- oh I see the problem."
"OH DO YA?!"
Uh-oh. Trump on Truth Social posted about the "real agreement".
All U.S. Ships, Aircraft, and Military Personnel, with additional Ammunition, Weaponry, and anything else that is appropriate and necessary for the lethal prosecution and destruction of an already substantially degraded Enemy, will remain in place in, and around, Iran, until such time as the REAL AGREEMENT reached is fully complied with. If for any reason it is not, which is highly unlikely, then the “Shootin’ Starts,” bigger, and better, and stronger than anyone has ever seen before.
It was agreed, a long time ago, and despite all of the fake rhetoric to the contrary - NO NUCLEAR WEAPONS and, the Strait of Hormuz WILL BE OPEN & SAFE. In the meantime our great Military is Loading Up and Resting, looking forward, actually, to its next Conquest. AMERICA IS BACK!
I removed the Guardian update and made it 100% Trump but I edited it to be two paragraphs.
In the meantime our great Military is Loading Up and Resting, looking forward, actually, to its next Conquest
America's national pastime is failing upwards and we have finally been blessed with leadership by the failingest upwardest and now we get to bear witness to some truly dogshit powers of negotiation
I guess it makes more sense now, the agreement was too good to be real because they had their own versions of it. You'd think there would be safeguards in place to prevent this sort of miscommunication.
Unless the US is just lying.
I hope Iran doesn't accept this treatment.
The US was lying to manipulate the markets. There was no miscommunication.
They are just liars. Are they breathing? Then they are lying.
it is time for a carrier to be sunk
What if Iran agreed to the ceasefire so that the idiot US would move assets within range of their missiles
Less and less reason for Iran to wait until Friday to resume their attacks on the entity and US assets by the hour.
Disappointed that Iran didn't attack the entity today. My only assumption is that Iran is speedrunning opening the tunnel complexes and bringing them back to highest capacity available but I could be wrong
‘It’s a war with no rules’: Lebanese Red Cross president makes call for blood donations - Al Jazeera update
“It’s a nightmare, a nightmare,” Antoine Zoghbi, president of the Lebanese Red Cross, said, shaking his head in disbelief in his office in the Hotel-Dieu de France Hospital in Beirut, on the night of Israel’s most devastating attack on Lebanon since the start of this latest war in early March. “It’s different today because they struck without warning,” Zoghbi told Al Jazeera.
“They struck many regions at the same time. And they struck hard to cause harm, to inflict pain. Pain, pain, pain. It’s a war with no rules. It’s a war with no limits,” he said. The Lebanese Red Cross are the sole supplier of blood banks to hospitals in Lebanon, and the organisation has made an open call for blood donations. Blood supplies are direly needed after Israel’s heavy strikes on Wednesday, which killed hundreds, particularly in hospitals overwhelmed with patients.
Many people acted quickly to donate blood shortly after the attacks, according to Zoghbi. “Whenever there is a crisis, the Lebanese people stand together,” he said.
Whenever there is a crisis, the Lebanese people stand together
unless you're the Lebanese army, or the Lebanese government...
"Iran will not abandon Lebanon"
Posters have been set up at Tehran's metro stations in solidarity with the Lebanese people and Lebanon's Hezbollah resistance.
@PressTV
Remember when the west™ was collectively cumming at K~~y~~iev's metro running despite Russian airstrikes? That Metro station looks cleaner than most train stations in the UK, for a city that ate several Blitzes worth of bombs in less time than we ever did.
is it true?
Yeah, the translations roughly are: "we will not abandon lebanon". And "Lebanon won't be left behind" Both lines use different verbs, which roughly mean "to leave behind/abandon", but there is semantic context I don't know here, it's farsi after all. There's always semantic context.
Cool iconography. Does the character in the middle normally look like that, or has it been braided for symbolism?
*looks like oliveoil answered my question while I was typing it
The "no" is a combination of two Arabic script letters, لand ا to make لا. But the other way around because Arabic script is read right to left. Transliterated as: "laa." The poster is in Farsi but its still Arabic script. ~~And "no," لا is the same in both anyway.~~
I recently put an Arabic script keyboard on my phone and I'd encourage anyone to do so and learn the Arabic alphabet/abjad. Learning the letters is not difficult at all (though I can't say the same for the grammar). For anyone else who didn't already know, Hexbear has its own Arabic teacher if you want to hit them up for lessons! https://hexbear.net/post/7742695
I'm sorry but this is not correct.
"La" only means no in Arabic. لا
"Lo" in Hebrew. לו
Persian is an Indo-European Language, and uses "Na" or "Ne" (as a prefix). "ن"
The poster has the Persian translation above. The central text with the "La" is Arabic.
Both texts convey the same meaning.
Ok, my mistake. I'm still working on Arabic and thought that an Urdu-speaking friend told me that Farsi speakers also say "laa" to say "no" but I must have misunderstood them.
No, it's 'Na'. Farsi is nice cause it's indo european. You will recognize a lot of grammatical structures and some terms.
No, "la" or "laa" are devoid of any meaning in Farsi.
I'm sure the Urdu speaker was mistaken. Not their language.
But Urdu is in the same language family and has the same structure. So it's pretty funny they said that.
But Urdu is in the same language family and has the same structure.
That's why I took her word for it. The fact that the poster is in Farsi but has the large "لا" I assumed was a confirmation of what I thought she had told me since لا is a lam and an alif.
And it does mean "no" here, because it's in Arabic.
I don't speak any arabic, so that might me my fault, but I thought the lower text was also farsi, cause of the ن, negation prefix. Tho, I guess Iranian only write out the vocals to signify that it's arabic?
Coolest looking "no".
لا
So basically everyone's tl;dr hot takes of the ceasefire gets thrown in the trash bin because the West didn't bother honoring it anyways. A grand total of 2 ships, a Greek ship and a Liberian ship, made it through the strait before the pool got closed again. We are back with the bellum status quo where the US still has air superiority^TM^, the Zionist entity still targets civilians because the IOF always gets owned by Hezbollah, Iran still has undisputed control over the strait, China still alternates between drafting useless letters and sending much more useful intel to Iran, GCC countries still express incredulity over being thrown under the bus etc. Literally nothing has changed.
I'm glad I didn't bother wasting my time typing some massive unhinged rant shitting on the doomers and their terrible analysis lol
Technically, nothing has happened, the deadline came and went, a new deadline has yet to be set but it's functionally a deadline extension.
I don't think it's doomerism to say Israel didn't like even the idea of a ceasefire. Israelis aren't just an American puppet, they have autonomy even if limited.
There are positive aspects, Iran fared well and the Government continues to function, they also get foreign currencies from the strait which is nice.
And I believe the US wants to declare "victory" and get the strait opened. I think last year similar dynamic happeend to where Israel continued to attack Lebanon just in a "reduced" manner.
My hot take was that the US and Israel wouldn't honor the ceasefire. I deserve praise and possibly money for my incredible analytical skills.
Literally nothing has changed.
don't make me tap the sign (the sign says nothing ever happens)
Iran's frequent attacks on Israel have effectively been put on pause from 1 hour after the ceasefire was declared. The pause is still ongoing.
Iran has promised retaliation. I'm hoping for a big one. But so far Iranian attacks on Israel have actually stopped.
I always felt the ceasefire was a false pretense for the US and Israel to buy time to formulate a strategy moving forward and to maneuver troops to the region, turned out it wasn't even that and it was just the admin lying and making shit up as always.
They are probably still moving troops around.
I have been having a hard time understanding this thing what is the dispute?
because we know that israel (who is understood by iran as part of the US aggression) won't obey anything at all, and the US might posture briefly but ultimately do whatever trump feels like when he wakes up tomorrow, no matter how strange how evil.
it is a power move they do where they "agree" to something bilateral, violate their side but then act as though the other side should adhere to their's. it is a real way to make the other party lick your boots. and everyone always does. It's a way to allow your inferior onlookers to demonstrate their submission. By pretending to see the logic of the opponent as the invoker of hostility. PUA writ global.
will somebody finally show them?! Iran. I have been given one sliver of hope Iran will show them. but it's not gonna be like that the first time right? maybe 5 or 10 fakeass ceasefires in, they will get the idea.
is there a different question that I am not understanding?
I'm glad I didn't bother wasting my time typing some massive unhinged rant shitting on the doomers and their terrible analysis lol
I feel personally called out. Sometimes we all need to do a bit of an unhinged rant every now and then.
The people you call "doomers" are actually cowards lacking either principles or discipline or both.
You are correct to criticize them and should continue to do it.
Combat doomerism! It's something all revolutionary movements have come up against and it's a well-studied topic. Revolutionary optimism, or Gramsci's "pessimism of the intellect, optimism of the will" are not meant for self-help - they're core components to the methodologies of successful revolutions.
The funniest thing is that my tl;dr rant would essentially just be, "the ceasefire won't fundamentally change the trajectory of the war because it's only two weeks." I meant that in a long strategic view 5-d chess sense, not in a the-ceasefire-will-be-torn-apart-in-less-than-24-hours-anyways sense.
There are days when two weeks happen, etc
The point of the 2 weeks was to establish time to negotiate. At least in theory.
Imo the point of the ceasefire was only to give Trump an off ramp from his promised war crimes. The involved parties basically had to cater to Trump's delusional state of mind to prevent a collapse of the world economy. It has worked for now in the sense that people are talking about who is breaking the ceasefire instead of whether there will be any oil infrastructure left in the Gulf.
In general, a lot of countries still seem to be trying to find ways to placate Trump in the hope that the problem will eventually fix itself.
It would be funny if Trump just pretends it's over and he won whilst oil fucktuples in price.
fucktuples
new word of the year award 2026
"Mr. President, the average price of gas has reached 10 dollars. What's your comment?"
"10 is the new 3. High so low - low-low-low-low-low. When it gets to 11 - even lower. Much low-low-low-low-low-low-low-lower."
i'm a True Doomer because i really wanted it to be the end 😔
https://xcancel.com/Osinttechnical/status/2041972446157299817 https://archive.ph/3fFAx
The Trump administration is considering a plan to punish some members of the NATO alliance that he believes were unhelpful to the U.S. and Israel during the Iran war -WSJ
Along with repositioning troops, the plan could involve closing a U.S. base in Spain or Germany.
"punishing" NATO by destroying your own power projection capabilities
these fuckers genuinely think they're in Europe to protect the Europeans, and not to use their territory for bases. absolutely no understanding of how their own empire even functions
Has anyone explained to him that NATO would've joined gleefully had he not sprung it on them for some less-obviously-bullshit reason?
He got a personal message from Macron about doing "great things on Iran" together! He specifically posted it online for all to see! I guess he forgot...
Why did he entitle his text to trump "from president Emmanuel Macron of France" like bro it says the name right at the top !!!!
Fuck it, we're eating the seed corn!
It has been wild watching the regime loot their own power base. Like how stupid do you need to be to not understand the basis of your imperial power and extravagant lifestyles.
They all believe their own propaganda unquestionably
your fox news granddad is in charge and nobody taught him about kayfabe or red meat
What did you mean the wrestlers are acting
The kool aid of imperial exceptionalism is well and truly drunk. The intelligent managers of empire like H. W. and other scum from the postwar period haven’t had their hands on the tiller for decades at this point.
Ngl that's both horrifying yet also comforting because at least we have incompetent fascists removed from reality of geopolitics.
That's the problem with propaganda and rewarding the true believers with power. Eventually, you run out of people smart enough to keep the grift going.
Now we also get to see the new high tech version of this phenomenon: DoD (among others) flooded social media with propaganda, which became the training data for LLMs, which are now aiding in DoD planning, and parroting their own propaganda back to them as "analysis". It's the same phenomenon but instead of taking generations it only took a few years.
PM of Spain Pedro Sánchez
Just today, Netanyahu launches his harshest attack against Lebanon since the offensive began.
His contempt for life and international law is intolerable.
It's time to speak clearly:
-
Lebanon must be included in the ceasefire.
-
The international community must condemn this new violation of international law.
-
The European Union must suspend its Association Agreement with Israel.
-
And there must be no impunity for these criminal acts.
https://x.com/sanchezcastejon/status/2041934569503346697
are we burning the flag with Sánchez, or at Sánchez
I think it's like '"they're on fire" , or they're on a roll, or a good streak / doing good - not how it's typically used.
You can see her considering for a moment if she wants to hold onto the last sliver of her humanity before she decides to discard it.
00:06s FUCK IT, WE BALL!
I straight up don't think I'd do anything different in her shoes.
Like- fuck it. What does someone DO with that kind of information? I guess I just ask a canned question and do the job people expect me to? Hope it blows over? Guess none of it will matter tomorrow if there's a nuclear war.
a second snag has hit the foldable iphone
New reporting reveals the Pentagon threatened Pope Leo XIV’s ambassador over the Pope's anti-war statements:
"America has the military power to do whatever it wants in the world. The Catholic Church had better take its side.”
cant wait for to start posting anti papist propaganda again
::: spoiler context A notable 1875 editorial cartoon by Thomas Nast, a German immigrant to the United States who had been raised as a Catholic. It portrays bishops as crocodiles who are attacking public schools, with the connivance of Irish Catholic politicians. Published in Harper's Weekly, May 8, 1875 :::
Pedo on pedo violence
It would be funny if they threw a hissy fit and made Trump the antipope
“The Pope? How many divisions does he command?”
- Donald Trump, 2026
You know things are geopolitically really bad when Catholic church leadership has become a beacon of morality without changing a single policy or practice.
After decades of criminal neglect and much harsh criticism, the Roman Catholic Church finally takes a firm stance against pedophilia.
Y'all ready for the Thirty Years War II?
Launch footage from the 100th wave of Operation True Promise 4, shortly before the ceasefire:
https://x.com/PressTV/status/2041834296470610206
so where is Israel on the continuum of
- "we are confident that continuing the war will serve our material interests" vs
- "we are not confident, but we prefer destruction to defeat"
kinda continuing my last thread https://hexbear.net/comment/7080365
They believe that destruction serves their material interests. That's how they've operated for decades towards every country in the region. The only countries they don't touch are ones that have been either been beaten into submission like Jordan and Egypt or are loyal vassals of the empire like the Saudis.
I can't predict what the Israeli leadership is really thinking, but they likely think that destroying more of Iran is better because the US will underwrite whatever loses they suffer themselves. We need to remember that their logic and reality is fundamentally different to ours, especially because of their fascist death drive to be at war 24/7.
It's the same good cop bad cop routine. The US is the good cop while the Zionist entity is the bad cop. The Zionist entity refusing to abide by the terms of the ceasefire means that the US considers the terms of the ceasefire insulting and completely unacceptable. Their attempt at retrieving the uranium was an unmitigated disaster, so they will ramp up the escalation ladder. This means full invasion, MOABs, and tactical nukes.
But the strait will remain closed.
Those two things dont seem like contradictions.
Are the Iran legoslop videos even AI generated? They seem such high quality. It even animates phone screens and text in a legible way. Although the music clearly is lmao.
They're absolutely AI, the lego hands look weird sometimes.
I don't think CGI animation can be done that quickly by humans. I could be wrong though.
I asked the same thing 100 threads ago. They are so perfect that it seems as tho diminishing returns to pure AI them.
Maybe it is a combination of CGI + AI? Can AGI provide a file that can be imported into an editor and touched up, or vice versa?
(I haven't done any AI or any CGI.)
Is this good?
yo
