A reminder that as the US continues to threaten countries around the world, fedposting is to be very much avoided (even with qualifiers like "in Minecraft") and comments containing it will be removed.

Image is of the Minab Girls' School in Iran, which was attacked by Western forces who killed (as of the time of writing this) nearly 200 people, including many schoolgirls.

I have a longer statement below in spoiler tags, but for those who just want to get into the megathread itself, the very short version of my take is: things are going about as well as they realistically could go for Iran as of me writing this on March 2nd; the US and Zionists have clearly misplayed their hand; there's so much propaganda it's hard to get a good perspective of the overall conflict; I think if Iran is still fighting on at approximately the same pace as the end of this week then things are looking VERY bad for the West; I am unsure what the ultimate result of this conflict will be now that the new crop of Iranian leadership are in charge after Khamenei's assassination but am hopeful that anti-American sentiment has been yet further cemented and those in Iran who seek repproachment with the West will be further discredited in favor of those who wish to look East.

::: spoiler My Idle Ramblings As we are now past the initial 48 hours of the war, what can be said with confidence is that the Iran of today is in a considerably more organized position than they were during the Twelve Days War, as the initial delay on meaningfully responding to enemy attacks was brought from something like 10 hours to about 1 hour. Unfortunately, given the not-insignificant number of Iranian top figures killed, Iran still has considerable opsec problems; whatever the hell Sinwar was doing to stay alive for over a year in the most bombed territory on the planet obviously hasn't reached Iran yet. However, to Iran's credit, the recovery was fast and effective, Khamenei had already drawn up detailed plans for the succession chain in the event of his death, and the new figures were clearly in position to take control of the situation within the hour. The name of the game appears to be greater decentralization of the military, making Zionist narratives about "decapitation" essentially meaningless - the hydra has a thousand heads.

This time around, there are fewer direct critiques to level at Russia and China. In an abstract sense, they could certainly "do more" (Xi, donate one million Chinese drones and let Iran and Yemen blot out the sun!), but to be geopolitically serious, it appears that the Twelve Days War delivered a swift kick up the ass of both Iran and China to start working more closely together, and so Iran now has access to Chinese intelligence and satellite tools, has been receiving certain military equipment like much better radars, and, one hopes, will provide greater economic assistance during and after this war's conclusion.

The overall impacts of the US's and Zionists' strikes on Iran, and vice versa, have been very hard to assess due to the customary tsunami of misinformation and comical exaggerations. Clearly, the most sensational claims - that Western aircraft feel safe enough to fly directly over Iranian territory (let alone that they have air superiority, let alone that they have air supremacy); that Iran's leadership have been killed in meaningful numbers; that Iran is on the verge of collapse or giving in; that Western losses are insignificant; that things are going well or better than expected; etc, are obviously for the general population and peanut gallery, and the situation looks very different from within the halls of power. Nonetheless, stitching every individual missile/drone strike together from both sides into a cohesive picture from which we can draw conclusions has always been a major challenge of present-day warfare, and is certainly challenging here. What can be generally gathered is that Iran does not seem to fear striking Occupied Palestine or American bases directly and with pretty significant firepower, but either is deliberately not focussing on the fleet or does not have the capability to focus on it, leaving American warships intact. And from the highest perspective, it's unclear whether Iran is only beginning a long term war of attrition, or whether they hope to not overly anger the US and Zionists so that an offramp later is possible, or indeed, that the West is succeeding in attriting Iran's offensive capabilities faster than Iran can attrit the West's (or a mixture of all three).

The assassination of Khamenei and other figures is a symbolic victory for the West, as he was one of the last remaining pre-October 7th Resistance leaders alive or in power. Reports are that he stayed at his compound despite being advised in the days before the attack that he should leave, knowing that he would likely very soon die, as he did not want to flee to Russia or hide in bunkers. It's currently unclear to me how impactful his death will be in the end. On the one hand, it is obvious to every serious analyst that his death will not negatively impact Iran's military operations, nor will it lead to regime change in the short or medium term - Iran's government is not a strongman regime (few governments truly are), and the current government is both very durable and has very widespread legitimacy. His replacements and subordinates are already in charge, and from what I can tell, effectively were in charge long before his death.

On the other hand, succession is a bit of a risky process for nations today, in the short and long term. If whoever is left as his replacement at the end of this war - I cannot safely assume it will be Khamenei's immediate replacement in the current environment of Western strikes - ultimately leans even a little more reformist and towards reproachment with the West than Khamenei did, then this whole war may be worth it to the West regardless of the materiel losses. Alternatively, if this war causes a permanent shift away from repproachment and genuine, sustained, and hard-to-repair damage to America's foothold in the Middle East as well as the attrition of most of the US's interceptor missiles, we may indeed be looking at a region soon to be free of Zionist designs. It is much too early for me to distinguish which path we are on. :::

Last week's thread is here.
The Imperialism Reading Group is here.

Please check out the RedAtlas!

The bulletins site is here. Currently not used.
The RSS feed is here. Also currently not used.

::: spoiler The Zionist Entity's Genocide of Palestine

If you have evidence of Zionist crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against the temporary Zionist entity. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA reports on the Zionists' destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

Mirrors of Telegram channels that have been erased by Zionist censorship.

:::

::: spoiler Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.

:::

Featured post by user oliveoil on a request to residents in the agressor nations to attempt to assist in anti-war efforts through economic actions

Reply to this post with additional material on how to participate in the anti-war movement.

Site is starting to slow down for some. please upload videos to other sites then post the link here instead of directly embedding them into the site. If you have posted embedded videos to this page before, when you have the time, please edit your comments containing the videos and swap them out for off-site links.

Try to follow rule 6 a bit harder while the conflict is actively ongoing to keep the news mega clear and on topic

Will changing the embed for a link help?

Something like this: (https://hexbear.net/pictrs/image/d5473ad7-0db2-4e78-9c73-5c1bc7f91962.mp4)

We can see if it affects the web page if people chose to post the links like that instead over the coming days

We have reports of a simultaneous Iranian-Hezbollah attack on Israel, with additional attacks on Qatar, the UAE, Kuwait and Bahrain. Beautiful stuff. Videos are already dropping, Iran used one of those cluster missiles again. Hezbollah targeted the Kiryat Shmona area in Northern Occupied Palestine.

Edit 2: another wave of Iranian missiles have been fired towards the Epsteinist-occupied territories in Palestine

Edit 3: seems like the attack on the UAE was quite massive, reports on resistance channels about ambulances reaching the Dhafra Base in the UAE. Also unconfirmed reports about a strike on the American embassy in Riyadh, very very unconfirmed though.

Edit 4: IRGC channels announce a successful combined strike with missiles and drones against a terrorist American gathering in Dubai that resulted in serious casualties.

https://t.me/RezistanceTrench/56753

Iran is hitting jordanian airfields

As far as questions go, this is a top tier one.

https://x.com/bobstar_m/status/2028565550172082199

An interestingly (relative) "calm" in the last 8 hours or so. Sure, still lots of things happening (some drones, missiles, clashes in Iraq and elsewhere), but it isn't that crazy right now. I guess it is taking US & Israel a bit longer to rearm and refuel than expected.

I did not expect Iranian air defenses to be this good. Nor did I expect Iran to be able to respond so soon.

I thought that I would have to spend 4-days to 2-weeks telling everyone not to doom, and then we would all see Iran's true strength.

The US and Israel cannot sustain this. The tides will turn even heavier when their logistics run thin.

That 2-week sustainment deadline still applies on the US.

Here is a lecture from Ted Postal yesterday backing me up: https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=iH6nN0EUGvM

Btw, how is that other war going? Pakistan / Afghanistan, I mean

Official us casualties updated to six deaths so far. If I were to guess the most casualties are being sustained in Iraq because that is where many us ground forces evacuated to after leaving Syria and it isn’t safe enough to board them up in hotels like in the gulf countries because of how widespread the Iraqi resistance is.

There's a websitethat tracks US Military costs since the start of the war on Iran.

Bloomberg: UAE and Qatar are privately lobbying allies to help push President Trump toward an off-ramp in the Iran war, seeking to keep U.S. military operations short and avoid wider escalation.

The effort comes as Qatar’s stockpile of Patriot interceptor missiles – used to defend against ballistic and cruise missile threats – could last just four more days at the current rate of use, according to an internal analysis seen by Bloomberg.

Qatar – the world’s largest LNG exporter – has also halted all LNG production citing Iranian strikes targeting energy infrastructure. That has sent European gas prices surging more than 50%.

The report notes that UAE is seeking additional medium-range air defense systems, and Qatar is requesting further support specifically to counter drone attacks.

Both governments have reportedly been engaging European leaders in pursuit of a swift diplomatic resolution.

RUBIO on Iran to CBS:

We were not going to sit there and wait to absorb a blow before we responded

We went proactively in a defensive way

posting below:

So we’re meant to believe Hezbollah, after sitting on their hands for over a year, launched a handful of symbolic rockets into , making themselves and southern lebanon into a sitting duck for the zionazis, and then just stopped? To me this was either some form of collusion between the Lebanese Authority and the zios, or just unilateral false flag from the entity itself. Surely.

Mexican president has a 72 percent approval rating, according to a poll - Prensa Latina

::: spoiler Article

Mexico City, March 2 (Prensa Latina) Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum registered a 72 percent approval rating in February, according to the latest El Financiero poll published today.

The survey consulted 1,300 adults by telephone, 900 of them interviewed from February 13 to 21, before the operation against Nemesio Oseguera, "El Mencho", leader of the Jalisco New Generation Cartel, and 400 people after that action carried out on February 22.

Considering the interviews before and after that date, the president's approval rating rose from 68 to 76 percent, the newspaper's digital edition points out, noting that giving equal weight to the interviews before and after, the poll shows 72 percent support, three points higher than in January.

According to the study, 82 percent rated the government's operation to arrest "El Mencho" as good or very good, while 77 percent of those consulted believed that these actions were correct and 21 percent labeled it a mistake.

Eighty-one percent said that the operation in Jalisco represents progress in security policy, while 14 percent saw it as a setback.

The study asked respondents to evaluate people and institutions involved in the operation carried out in Jalisco, including the Secretary of Security, Omar García, who received 81 percent good or very good ratings, and 13 percent bad or very bad ratings.

For his part, the head of Defense, Ricardo Trevilla, obtained 74 percent favorable evaluations and 16 percent unfavorable ones.

The Army was the best rated, with 88 percent positive opinions, followed by the National Guard and the Navy, with 85 percent each.

Regarding the monthly performance indicators, in the economy the favorable opinion went from 48 to 56 percent and in security, from 40 to 45.

In the military operation carried out by the Army in Tapalpa, “El Mencho” was seriously wounded and died during his transfer by air to a medical institution.

The death of the man, one of the most wanted drug traffickers, sparked a reaction from organized crime with roadblocks, vehicle burnings, and attacks on law enforcement in that and other states, which gradually returned to normal after the government's rapid response. :::

We will continue sending aid to Cuba, says Mexico's president - Prensa Latina

::: spoiler Article

Mexico City, March 2 (Prensa Latina) Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum announced today the arrival of a second shipment of humanitarian aid from Mexico to Cuba and confirmed that shipments to the Caribbean nation will continue.

“By the way, humanitarian aid has arrived and we will continue sending aid to Cuba,” the head of the Executive Branch stated during her usual press conference.

On Saturday, the ships Papaloapan and Huasteco, of the Mexican Navy, arrived at the port of Havana with a total of 1,193 tons of food supplies, in a context marked by the tightening of the economic blockade that the United States has imposed on the island for more than six decades.

The ships had departed from the port of Veracruz on February 24 and transported food such as beans and powdered milk.

According to the Foreign Ministry, a total of 23 tons of material aid included in the shipment were delivered by various social organizations with the support of the Mexico City Government at the collection center set up in the Historic Center, and this corresponds to the first delivery.

The shipment is the second from Mexico to the island, following the arrival in Havana on February 12 of some 814 tons of basic food and hygiene items. :::

US stocks finish higher

Wall Street’s S&P 500 index ended Monday’s session up less than 0.1 per cent as gains for energy companies and defence groups marginally outweighed losses for consumer staples. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite rose 0.4 per cent. The Russell 2000 index of small-cap US stocks added 0.8 per cent.

ft.com

New ministers will seek crucial parliamentary ratification in Peru - Prensa Latina

::: spoiler Article

Lima, March 2 (Prensa Latina) Peruvian Prime Minister Denisse Miralles announced today that her cabinet will appear before Congress on March 18 to request a vote of confidence to remain in office.

He made the announcement after a meeting with the Speaker of Parliament, Fernando Rospigliosi, in which they coordinated the presentation of the ministerial cabinet whose members were sworn into office on February 24.

Regarding criticism from opposition members of various parties, who question the cabinet with the argument that it is the product of a "distribution" (improper distribution of ministries among some parties) or question the continuity of half of the heads of José Jerí, dismissed on February 17.

Miralles, who was promoted to prime minister from the Ministry of Economy and Finance with the change, denied the "divide" and rejected being linked to the conservative Alliance for Progress party and assured that she does not belong to any political group.

She also maintained that she and the other ministers are independent experts who, in a time of national emergency, have taken on the responsibility of working for Peruvians.

He added that he hopes to receive the understanding of the congressmen for national unity to fight against citizen insecurity and the El Niño phenomenon that affects various regions with heavy rains and to guarantee the elections of April 12.

Parliamentary blocs are divided between those that have announced they will deny confidence, an option that, if it becomes the majority, would force the ministers to resign en masse.

Left-wing parties, among others, have announced that they will not give their votes of confidence to the new cabinet, while others are conditioning their decision on the work plan that will be presented within 16 days, especially regarding citizen security. :::

Ten Panamanians arrested for threatening Cuban order - Prensa Latina

::: spoiler Article

The Ministry of the Interior (Minint) today reported the arrest in this capital of 10 Panamanian citizens, residents in that country, for threatening the constitutional order of Cuba.

According to the official statement, the detainees "are perpetrators of acts of propaganda against the constitutional order, regulated in article 124 of the Penal Code."

"Initial investigations indicate that these individuals had been directed to enter the island for the purpose of making signs with subversive content," the text states.

He also added that they were to leave the country once that objective was achieved and, upon returning to Panama, they would each receive between one thousand and one thousand five hundred dollars.

According to the Minint report, those involved admitted "to being the perpetrators of acts of this nature, carried out in Havana during the early morning of Saturday, February 28." :::

[ no link sry ]

Iran is denying the strike on the ARAMCO facility?

AJ Arabic

Urgent | Advisor to the commander of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard: The Strait of Hormuz is closed and we will target any ship that attempts to pass through

Trump: "I don't have the yips."

Trump says he’s not ruling out sending ground troops ‘if they were necessary’

President Donald Trump told the New York Post on Monday that he’s not ruling out sending American ground troops into Iran. “I don’t have the yips with respect to boots on the ground,” Trump said. “Every president says, ‘There will be no boots on the ground.’ I don’t say it.” The president said that he “probably” doesn’t need to send ground troops but that he is open to the possibility “if they were necessary.”

Trump also told the New York Post that 49 members of Iran’s leadership have been killed and that the operation is “going to go pretty quickly We’re right on schedule.”

https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2026/03/02/us-israel-iran-hezbollah-military-strikes-live-updates/#link-4UNRSV7PBZBXBMPVQ24D3TM53U

There’s already pictures of emirati shelves running low on food. These shithole compradors have zero strategic depth lol.

Made a little rant about the upcoming danish elections I'm not super up-to-date on the latest political happenings because every time I read about them I get a rage-induced aneurysm, but the general stuff is there. Feel free to drop a kind word or some additional context.

https://t.me/FotrosResistancee/18834

Settler society took 72 hours to start cracking

🇮🇱| Israel wanted the people in Iran to come outside and revolt… instead the Israelis are now outside clashing with each other in Bnei Brak.

They are setting trash cans on fire and shooting firecrackers at cars & busses.

@FotrosResistancee

https://t.me/FotrosResistancee/18834

Despite regular bombardment, the people of Iran are in the streets of Tehran, Qom, Mazandaran and more calling for revenge

Press TV posted a timelapse of the Tehran march here

https://t.me/presstv/177711

someone's opinion from twitter, I agree tbh. "The Gulf is way more important to American USD hegemony and the global economy at large than Israel is a hundredfold, the fact that the US would leave the gulf out to dry to defend Israel shows how irrationally and almost suicidally devoted the US is to that settler colony."

and russia has more responsibility for iran than china, they are all very happy about rising oil prices

Once again reiterating my take that this is all about stopping oil flow to China. The closure of the Strait of Hormuz, bombing of Gulf oil infrastructure, potential regime change in Iran, controlling of Venezuelan oil exports, and Ukrainian strikes on Russian oil infrastructure all work toward that same goal.

If they succeed in draining China's oil reserves, they will want to strike while the iron is hot and probably kick off the proxy war in East Asia.

Chinese FM Wang Yi held a phone conversation with Iranian FM Seyed Abbas Araghchi.

Chinese FM Wang Yi held a phone conversation with Iranian FM Seyed Abbas Araghchi.

#China supports #Iran in safeguarding its sovereignty, security, territorial integrity, and national dignity, and supports Iran in upholding its legitimate and lawful rights and interests.

China has urged the U.S. and Israel to immediately cease military operations, prevent further escalation of tensions, and stop the conflict from spreading and engulfing the entire #MiddleEast.

Good sign that China is verbally siding with Iran here, I highly doubt that China will do anything military but if the conflict drags on Iran will need humanitarian supplies hopefully China will actually provide aid

Carpet bombing in Tehran earlier today

https://nitter.poast.org/TehranTimes79/status/2028434768635781196#m

Sorry for nitter link, xcancel not working for me

BREAKING: Iran Revolutionary Guard attacks oil tanker in Strait of Hormuz with the vessel ablaze

https://xcancel.com/AJENews/status/2028530948233396622

We interrupt this program to bring you new slammer bangers

(Washington Post)

A US State Department cable indicates that several Defense Department (Pentagon) personnel were injured in an Iranian drone attack targeting a hotel in Bahrain.

(Iranian Telegram channels)

An Iranian drone struck a hotel in Bahrain that was hosting US defense officials

Unexploded ordnance, a 2000lb MK 84 bomb, usually used in conjunction with a GBU-31 JDAM guidance kit, was used in US - Israeli airstrikes in Tehran, and failed to detonate. Please do not handle unexploded ordnance like this... If that bomb went off, everyone in the video would be dead.

Video

diging of the gravesite for the girlschool , 165 is the final deathcount , basicly all the girls of Minab

they geniuenly expect iranian people to rise up against the state. we all know plenty of examples, this is one of the lowest points of west's prestige and they still expect people to fight to become their subjects. Even the chuddy "I only care about my nation" won't try to fight to be subjects of someone who just bombed their school. this is not something they expect half assed, a nice to have. this is litterally a step in their plan without an alternative

Gen Z is going on tour! NYPost - Trump won’t rule out sending US troops into Iran ‘if necessary’

“I don’t have the yips with respect to boots on the ground — like every president says, ‘There will be no boots on the ground.’ I don’t say it,” Trump said after launching strikes Saturday to decapitate Iran’s military and political leadership. “I say ‘probably don’t need them,’ [or] ‘if they were necessary.'”

OilPrice - JPMorgan: Oil Prices Could Hit $120 Per Barrel

Gulf producers can only sustain normal production for roughly 25 days if the Strait is completely blocked, after which saturated storage would force a total shutdown of regional production.

There is a clock that has started ticking. 25 days.

Ha!

‘We are not joining US-Israeli offensive’ on Iran, says UK PM Starmer

The UK prime minister says that while he has allowed British bases to be used in the US response to Iran’s attacks, they will be “limited to the agreed defensive purposes”.

“We are not joining the US-Israeli offensive strikes. The basis for our decision is for the collective self defence of longstanding friends and allies and protecting British lives,” said Keir Starmer.

He added that while the UK will not be joining the strikes, “we will continue our defensive actions in the region.”

https://aje.news/wwomw4?update=4355998

Sanchez's statement the same as every other ghoul https://x.com/sanchezcastejon/status/2028423891169816629

In the last few hours, Iran has attacked Saudi Arabia, Bahrain, Qatar, Cyprus, the United Arab Emirates, Iraq, Israel, Jordan, Kuwait, and Oman.

We strongly condemn all illegal and indiscriminate attacks against the countries of the Gulf Cooperation Council and other countries in the region. We also condemn the launch of missiles by Hezbollah and Israel's attack on Lebanon. Violence only begets more violence. Bombs hit military targets, but they also strike streets, airports, schools, and the homes of innocent civilians. They must immediately halt this spiral and return to the framework of diplomacy and dialogue.

https://xcancel.com/FaytuksNetwork/status/2028409355205214432

The EU has reached a "panic moment" as not all member states have sufficient energy reserves...a leading energy analyst says the EU is likely to increase energy imports from Russia - POLITICO

Greece Deploys FDI Frigate to Shield Cyprus Amid Iran Tensions

Hellenic Armed Forces are deploying the FDI HN frigate Kimon (F-601) which is currently the most advanced Greek warship and the only one capable to provide long-range air defense, an additional (Hydra-class/MEKO 200HN) frigate that is equipped with HAI CENTAUR C-UAS system, and two F-16 fighter jets to Cyprus.

Equipped with the state-of-the-art multi-function radar SEAFIRE of Thales with a detection range exceeding 300 kilometers, as well as MBDA ASTER 30 Block 1 surface-to-air missiles with a range of more than 120 kilometers, and the rest of its armament, Kimon is capable of providing robust air-defense coverage. The frigate can deliver highly effective protection for critical Cypriot infrastructure against missiles or drones

President Trump: 'We are surprised by Iran's attack on Arab countries'

I don't even know what to say.

I’m curious how Iran’s missile launching capability has evolved to be survivable, given air superiority from the Epstein Coalition. I’m assuming they don’t have fixed launch sites, and heavily use TELs. I remember JSTARS tracking SCUD launchers back in the day - since that aircraft is now retired, how likely is it that USAF/IDF can erode missile launch capabilities in the coming weeks?

Qatar claims to have shot down 2x Iranian Su-24 aircraft in their latest statement.

OilPrice - Arctic Air Drives Natural Gas Volatility Across the Northeast

The surge of Arctic air arrives as natural gas futures have jumped over 5%, intensifying the "energy burden" for households already facing record utility bills due to the deep freeze.

Video: https://xcancel.com/HamzaOday775/status/2028456110315761839

A Saudi journalist close to the royal family on Al Jazeera:

"American defense focuses on Israel, with no regard for the defense of the Gulf Arab states that host numerous military bases."

The totally unpredictable consequences of being a vassal. 🤡

https://health.aws.amazon.com/health/status

https://www.businessinsider.com/amazon-web-services-data-center-fire-objects-middle-east-strikes-2026-3

Amazon AWS ME Central region is impaired after becoming "impacted by objects". There are also electrical issues. There are 3 AZs in total servicing the region, 2 are currently facing these foreign object issues according to Amazon's system status monitoring.

Amazon works alongside the IDF providing IT services and would therefore be a target for Iran.

https://xcancel.com/NewsWire_US/status/2028454804133966047

EUROPE GAS PRICES SURGE 50% AFTER QATARI LNG PRODUCTION HALTS

Europeans will be eating gruel and burning their furniture to stay warm and they'll still pledge allegiance to the US and Israel.

Qatar's defence minister claims they downed 2 Iranian fighter jets

I want to meet the people who buy this bullshit - well I don't, but you know what I mean.

we didn't *hic* start the fire

That song is gonna need an update by the end of this decade lmao.

head spun so fast he got dementia

Red Crescent says 555 killed in Iran so far

Latest casualty figures according to Al Jazeera:

> US has achieved ‘air superiority’ over Iran: Caine

US forces have achieved air superiority over Iran, Caine says during the news conference.

“[Strikes by US forces] resulted in the establishment of local air superiority. This air superiority will not only enhance the protection of our forces but also allow them to continue the work over Iran,” the general said.

note-to-self: if you become ayatollah, invest a little in downing airplanes.

Premarkets are blood-red. Volatility index is up 20%. This could be an jnteresting day on Wall Street

Dow is below 50k again, so I guess Epstein stuff is back on the table

Pam Bondi in shambles.

I have to wonder if the US forces would be more effective if the US bothered investing in the education, health and community of its people.

You can have all the expensive toys in the world. It doesn't matter if the people making the orders don't know how to use them.

Educated people tend not to join the millitary. You can't sell the idea of seeing the world to techbros who already have. I had a longer point about the 1960s 'counterculture' but I'm exhausted

I have been thinking about the usa's wunderwaffen not working as intended a lot lately, it's not all user error

People join the military to afford education.

And lots of yankees literally just join for fun to kill people! Don't forget!

Only AmeriKKKa gets away with being able to say its murderous brutes are equally oppressed to the people they kill on command.

Other countries don't even bother, and just unequivocally support every act of evil and inhumanity as a state religion.

The Imperial fucking Core? Poor Brody never wanted to be in Iraq he hated being there so much that he did everything he was asked and dished out a bit of extra terrorism for the heck of it.

to afford basic necessities at this point

Joining the military is a pathway to middle classhood. You get healthcare and education, even if they could be better. There are many perks like on-base grocery stores that are way cheaper than off-base. In general your employment is stable. You have to really fucking screw up to get dismissed/fired. And of course, a lot of that extends to the employee’s family too.

About community, the military is itself a community, an insular one at that. People don’t want to leave because everyone they know is in it somehow or another.

The volunteers already in the military are more than fine. And recruiting, although it waxes and wanes, is always going to be fine because of that, if not even better when the economy shits the bed.

Israeli military releases further details on Hezbollah commander killing

The Israeli military has released additional details about the killing of a senior Hezbollah figure in Beirut. Earlier, the army said it had killed Hussein Makled, described as the head of Hezbollah’s intelligence headquarters, in an overnight strike on the Lebanese capital. In a statement, the Israeli military said Makled had held several positions within Hezbollah’s intelligence apparatus over recent years and was appointed to lead the unit after his predecessor, Hussein Hazima, was killed in October 2024. According to the Israeli military, Makled was responsible for compiling intelligence assessments on Israeli forces and coordinating with senior Hezbollah commanders to plan attacks against Israel. The military added that it would continue operations against Hezbollah.

Al Jazeera: https://aje.news/wwomw4?update=4355729

Epstein Coalition forces (US) firing live rounds into a crowd of protesters

Karachi: At least 16 killed, 34+ injured after protesters breached the outer wall of the U.S. Consulate. Reports say Marine Security Guards and local police opened fire after parts of the compound and nearby police posts were set ablaze.

the headline saying US opened fire is directly in contradiction to following text "Marine Security Guards and local police".

is "(US)" being used to clarify what "epstein coalition" means?

My understanding is that "marine security guards" refers to US marines guarding the consulate.

The (US) is me clarifying what section of the Epstein coalition it is

CW blood, death other video

Edit: nothiung has hapend in icerlik airforce base , it was Syria see comments

Russia’s Putin expresses solidarity with Qatar in call with emir after Iranian attacks

Qatar’s emir, Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani, has had a phone conversation with Russian President Vladimir Putin. According to a statement from the emir’s office, Sheikh Tamim thanked Putin after the president expressed Russia’s solidarity with Qatar following Iran’s attacks and its readiness to provide any support or assistance. The two leaders also discussed regional developments and stressed the importance of intensifying diplomatic efforts to reduce tensions and maintain regional security and stability.

Al Jazeera: https://aje.news/wwomw4?update=4355597

Beirut being bombed again right now, al jazeera is covering it

Lebanon bans Hezbollah military activities -The Cradle

The contradictions are heightening. The cowards and traitors are now completely unmasked! They will surely regret their actions.

Glory to the martyrs and victory to the resistance.

Death To America.

I can't imagine living in Lebanon and being against Hezbollah right now. How did these cowards and traitors even get in charge after seeing Israel walk in over and over, killing you countrymen and taking your territory?

I can only hope Hezbollah has more internal support than their official military.

QatarEnergy announces it is stopping production after attacks on it’s facilities

That’s 20% of global LNG production that just got switched off.

man I bet Europe would be shook if they still had any industry to speak of

Unlimited utility costs on the first world

When Russia invaded Ukraine, I feel like the stakes were "if they can't do a decapitation strike and take the capital in a month, they'll have to bunker down and fight a war of attrition" And this was seen as a huge weakness

Did the "greatest military in the world" really not plan for an entire weekend against an enemy they've been itching to fight for a ~~quarter~~ half century?

It's just really surreal

They had no plan whatsoever they just wanted to lash out in a primal fit of testosterone-fuelled rage. That or the Israelis and Saudis convinced Trump that the Iranians were definitely, 100%, going to rise up and do a coup right as soon as they were done burying their daughters

They bet everything on an instant nationwide uprising against the Islamic Republic, the fools really bought their own propaganda

they also killed all of the opposition leaders who might have led said uprising

there's a split in the Axis where the US wants Iran to be Syria and "Israel" wants Iran to be Libya

The Pentagon briefing is happening https://www.nytimes.com/live/2026/03/02/world/iran-us-israel-attack-trump

Apparently a total of three F-15E's got smoked over Kuwait yesterday in a large "friendly fire" incident. Unfortunately all 6 future homeless veterans have survived

Fool me once, shame on you. Fool me twice, shame on me. Fool me thrice, what are we even doing here?

"There's an old saying in Tennessee—I know it's in Texas, probably in Tennessee—that says, 'Fool me once, shame on...shame on you.' Fool me—you can't get fooled again."

I'm not buying this friendly-fire thing for a moment.

usa has also openly bragged about air supremacy, so they're what, saying yes we know there are only our jets in the sky, we got excited, our fingers slipped? Lol okayyyyy

What else would it be? Iran cannot shoot down airplanes that far out I don't think. They shot down their own plane when they were attacking Yemen so that seems very plausible.

It was on their border? amerika is saying kuwait to hide that fact. It was on the border of kuwait/iran

IRGC says they took them down

John Kuwaine is that you?

It feels like this many can’t be accidental but I have no knowledge on war waging

When I heard about the first one I was like "heh, even if it is FF, still counts!", but there's gotta be more to the story lmao

In my mind they were all racing from different bases to bomb a school and they all got there at the exact same time to make a triangle pancake

america's gonna bomb kuwait now right?

With friends like these, amirite?

So many US/Israel airstrikes are targeting squares, highways, crossroads etc. Locations that are strategically and tactically meaningless in a war like this

I don't know if there monstrous dipshits think dropping bombs on random streets means that whole neighborhood will raise up in an anti-regime riot, if so then the incoherence of US strategy is reaching levels of delusion that make the Axis in 1945 look competent

That's part of Dahiya Doctrine.

Crossroads tend to hold the main electrical and water junctions, as well as being necessary for vehicles. It's a way of disrupting civilian life while you figure out how to build enough bombs to flatten every house in the neighbourhood while Europe ignores what you're doing.

Has to be remarked that they inherited this doctrine from the British. Westerners have been doing this exact same thing in the middle east since the invention of powered flight.

the Br*tish and their twisted imperial offspring, the United $nakeSS of Amerikkka, have been in a centuries-long competition to innovate new and more efficient ways to kill and terrorize civilian populations

Brilliant Maoist Standard *ngliSSh btw.

Same thing they did to Iraq in the Gulf war. They want to "bomb them back to the stone age." and destroy as much infrastructure and ruin and take as many lives as they can.

They're terrorists doing terrorism. They have no strategy other than to drop massive bombs on civilians and civilian infrastructure.

Unfortunately not as fun for those people living through the bombing, I get the feeling but don't forget there are real people suffering through this

It seems like my comment may have been misconstrued?

it was read as the wrong side of the fine line where we're all cheering for the destruction of the empire but the cost is in Iranian and Arab lives, though I don't think that's what you were doing

I literally mean the opposite but I guess I'll just delete it if im communicating that poorly.

no I don't think you were, don't stress; I got what you were saying

Malaysian parliament stands in solidarity with Iran, strongly condemns Israel-US strikes

The government and opposition blocs in the Malaysian Parliament on Monday (March 2) set aside political differences to stand in solidarity with the people and nation of Iran, hence becoming among the earliest parliaments to express a firm stance in strongly condemning the barbaric attack by the Zionist regime of Israel and the United States against the country.

Prime Minister Datuk Seri Anwar Ibrahim described the rare bipartisan consensus as clear proof that Malaysia would not compromise on the dignity, sovereignty and independence of any nation.

How Southeast Asia Responded to the Outbreak of the Iran War

::: spoiler choice paragraphs

Formatting is a little messed up but I cba fixing it

The most outspoken government in the region was Muslim-majority Malaysia, an outspoken critic of Israel that has for years ~maintained friendly relations~ with the Islamic Republic of Iran. In a ~statement~, the Malaysian Foreign Ministry condemned both the U.S.-Israeli attacks on Iran, as well as the retaliatory Iranian missile strikes on Saudi Arabia, Bahrain, the United Arab Emirates, Kuwait, and Qatar. “At this critical juncture, all parties must exercise maximum restraint to prevent further escalation that could destabilize the region and carry wider global consequences,” it stated. However, Malaysian Prime Minister Anwar Ibrahim was ~more outspoken~, condemning “unreservedly” the assassination of Ali Khamenei and arguing that the strikes have brought the Middle East to “the edge of grave and sustained instability.” He also promised to table a parliamentary motion condemning the attacks on Iran. “The cruelty of Zionist Israel never stops because they have lost all sense of humanity,” he ~said at a fast-breaking ceremony~ yesterday.

Indonesia’s Foreign Ministry also issued a ~statement~ calling on all parties “to exercise restraint and to prioritize dialogue and diplomacy.” It also reiterated the “importance of respecting the sovereignty and territorial integrity of every country and resolving differences through peaceful means.” Meanwhile, President Prabowo Subianto has said he was ~willing to travel to Tehran~ “to conduct mediation,” although no party has expressed any support for his proposal so far.

Meanwhile, acting Thai Foreign Ministry spokesperson Panidone Pachimsawat ~told reporters~ that Bangkok is “closely monitoring the situation with grave concern.” He added that the 110,000 Thai nationals in the Middle East, the majority of whom work in Israel, has been placed on alert and that a plan for their evacuation “has been prepared.” Forty-six Thai nationals ~were killed~ in the conflict between Israel and the Palestinian militant group Hamas, most of them during Hamas’ attack into southern Israel on October 7, 2023.

In a statement, the DFA said that ~no Filipinos had been injured~ in the initial attacks, but that the Philippine embassies in Tehran, Iran and Tel Aviv were “on full alert.” Meanwhile, Foreign Secretary Theresa Lazaro ~called on all parties~ to “resort immediately” to dialogue and negotiations.

Most of the other governments in the region issued statements calling for various variations of restraint. At a ~press briefing~ on Saturday, Vietnamese Foreign Ministry spokesperson Pham Thu Hang said that her government “calls upon all relevant parties to exercise maximum restraint, immediately end all escalatory actions, protect civilians and essential infrastructure, and resolve differences through peaceful means in strict accordance with international law, the United Nations Charter, and relevant U.N. resolutions.”

Singapore’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs ~stated~that it “regrets the failure of negotiations” and the outbreak of war and similarly urged all parties “to return to negotiations to achieve a peaceful resolution in accordance with international law and the principles of the U.N. Charter.” Cambodia’s Foreign Ministry similarly ~called on~ “all parties concerned to exercise maximum restraint to avoid further escalation that would harm civilian lives and undermine peace.”

:::

Can't help but think that Hezbollah's entry was a massive miscalculation as of now. Not feeling confident at all on that front.

Doesn't help that every high ranking commander seems to be walking into the same crater in Beirut for some reason

Yeah if they were going to enter the war, surely they should've fired more than a handful of rockets.

Its a good speech! Here's the video the screenshot is from

https://t.me/universityofmahdi/773

Why join then? They should have calculated that the benefits of joining outweighed the risks both internal and external.

Only reason they might have joined in an unfavorable situation is that they consider that they are in an existential threat and they need to go for one last hurrah, or something, but I continue to think they aren't as weak as the discourse like to say.

I continue to think they aren’t as weak as the discourse like to say.

I agree completely. To follow up from the articl I shared with you, their strategic silence following the end of the last battle left a lot of room for speculation which has of course led to defeatism due to the hegemonic narrative power of zionism.

We must clarify the strategy of the battle. Excerpt

the Resistance has learned to oppose the enemy by, what the martyr al-Araj calls “living like porcupines and fighting like fleas.” He describes the Resistance like a flea that “stings, jumps and stings again avoiding hands or feet trying to stomp it. It does not kill its host (meaning it does not kill the entire functions of a dog host for example), what it does is exhaust its host.”

Following this analogy, Hezbollah is just one of the many fleas that are relentlessly attacking the rabid dog occupying the region. The martyr continues to explain that the flea creates “a constant disturbance, eventually preventing the host from being able to rest. It makes the host nervous and demoralized.” Every time the Resistance sends hundreds of thousands of settlers scurrying to their bomb shelters, now a regular occurrence, it is a victory. This concept was described by Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah as an “accumulation of points.”

this might have something to do with it. Could be they knew a crackdown was coming and decided to go out fighting or something

That was coming since the end of the last engagement. Though there was no way for either side to act on the unresolved tension without "Israel" getting 100% involved until Iran was taking half the heat.

Sort of my first thought too. You have the Lebanese government really friendly with the zionists, you have the regime change in Syria, Hezbollah is the logical next target.

To have Hezbollah hit first while their enemy is in the most pressured position they'll ever be in, while Iran is lighting fires across the entire middle east at its leisure? Makes sense to me.

And then seeing the zionists suddenly have "100k troops ready in the north" or w/e they were saying? That doesn't just feel like a reaction that feels like a plan that's been worked on recently imo. Speculation but like, feels off.

I think there were rumours of plan like this before the war started.

US takes Iran, Israel takes Lebanon.

But it isn't working well for them.

Sure ain't

The Lebanese government have announced they will be moving against Hezbollah. Seems like this is finally ’might instigate the Lebanese civil war the Zionists have been aiming for

Yes, it seems as if they are too exhausted to do anything, and the heavy bombing in southern Lebanon is devastating. Bless them for trying at least.

🇸🇦🇺🇸⚡️🇮🇷 Explosions shake King Salman's base in Saudi Arabia.

LETS FUCKING GOOOOOOO

Most dipshit airforce of the 21st century lmao

Unfortunately probably second. The US did just lose 3 F-15s in a single day.

https://t.me/RezistanceTrench/56602`

We are with Iran against the opposition!

The Yemeni Ansars (houthis) are with Iran! (x2)

With readiness and alertness/mobilization!

Our official and our people's position!

Is the victory of Islam we fulfill!

Iran's true promise!

Unprecedented punishment!

America and children of Zion!

Criminals, Criminals! (x2)

'O Gaza, we are still with you! (x2)

We shall persist, if they return then so will we! (x2)

God is the greatest! Death to America! Death to Israel! A curse upon the Jews! Victory to Islam (houthi's flag)

This is a very rough translation so i apologize for mistakes, this is not my dialect and a couple of the words here i couldn't find the proper meaning of, so i had to use DeepL for a few words. The rest is translated manually however.

Over a million people poured onto the streets in Sana’a, Yemen to show their solidarity with Iran and mourn the martyred Supreme Leader, Seyyed Ali Hosseini Khamenei. Yemen has entered the war against the US-Zionist axis and is both launching missiles and targeting ships in the Red Sea.

Good work, comrade! I have some suggestions if you don't mind:

We are with Iran against the aggression!

The Yemen of Ansars is with Iran!

With readiness and repentance!

It's استنفار not استغفار, so maybe "with readiness and alertness/mobilization!"

Persecution without precedent!

Unprecedented punishment!

And I think when they say سنظل 'we'll remain/persist' they're saying they'll remain with Gaza.

Thank you for the corrections, will edit

I thought it was pretty good! But same situation, not my dialect, and a few really hard to hear words

Please follow the guidance of the pinned comment and do not post embedded videos.

my apologies, i didn't see it

No worries!

incredibly funny article to come across today while I was checking https://archive.ph/dBpjH

General Running Air Force Reserve Wants Surplus F-15E Strike Eagles, New F-15EX Eagle IIs

The chief of the Air Force Reserve Command wants to overturn the depressing trend of aircraft divestments without getting new planes to replace them.

well, a couple more F-15s just got "divested"

::: spoiler more

The commander of Air Force Reserve Command (AFRC) has said that he would like to field F-15E Strike Eagle and F-15EX Eagle II combat aircraft to help the command meet its commitment to supporting the overall Air Force mission. AFRC commander Lt. Gen. John P. Healy was speaking at the Air & Space Forces Association’s annual Warfare Symposium, where TWZ is in attendance. Headquartered at Robins Air Force Base, Georgia, the AFRC is responsible for three numbered air forces, 34 flying wings, 10 flying groups, a space wing, a cyber wing, and an intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance wing. It also has other subordinate units that help to accomplish its total-force missions. Healy was addressing how AFRC is grappling with how best to contribute to the Air Force’s 10-year fighter jet plan, which calls for purchasing more F-15EXs, F-35s, and F-47s, as it aims to have nearly 1,400 combat-coded tactical aircraft in service by 2030. The commander noted that the plan is not only “pretty ambitious” but also that, while it has been submitted to Congress, it is still very much a work in progress. Nevertheless, Healy said that, whatever happens, the Air Force’s future fighter plans will rely heavily on the AFRC. At the same time, this organization is facing upcoming combat aircraft retirements, including the A-10 attack jet, which the Air Force wants to withdraw entirely.

“As the commander of Air Force Reserve Command, I am keenly aware that some of my units are scheduled to divest without any plan of recapitalization,” Healy said. “Some could say I am loud and annoying when it comes to how we can ensure that we can maintain this fighting force,” he added, noting that in certain AFRC units, 100 percent of the airmen are combat veterans, and that he wants to ensure “that talent, that experience, doesn’t walk out the door during a normal, planned divestment.” Healy is hopeful that the historic practice of aircraft divestment without recapitalization, something he said has existed over the last 14 years, is now on the way out. “I think we’re finally at a point where we’re putting a stop to that,” Healy said. “We’re looking at maintaining our classic associations where we have them and recapping as the active duty can. For the remaining fighter units that we have that are divesting or scheduled for divestment, our full expectation is that we’re going to recap those with new weapons systems.” There’s no doubt that many of the AFRC’s planned divestments are badly needed, with upward of 80 percent of the command’s fleet now being considered “legacy.” Healy continued: “You know, it’s code for old. Some of these airplanes need to be divested, but we also need to ensure that we are proportionately, concurrently fielded with new equipment.”

That’s where the F-15E and F-15EX could come into play. “For every one of these A-10 units that are going away, I’m looking at if there’s a means by which we can get an F-15 unit behind it, whether it’s a Strike Eagle or an EX.” Meanwhile, Healy said he’s also “pressing hard” to ensure that ARFC units divesting from the F-16 will be backfilled with F-35 stealth jets. “We’ve got that combat capability,” Healy added. “We’ve got that combat experience. We need to leverage that.” The AFRC boss also made the financial case for continuing to re-equip his command’s squadrons with new (or, failing that, newer) equipment. According to the Air Force’s own factsheet, the AFRC provides around 14 percent of the total force within the service, while consuming only around four percent of the total manpower budget. “My job is to constantly remind the programmers and remind the chief and the secretary of the value proposition, the advantage of the Reserve, because at the end of the day, we’re providing a little bit more money that we can reinvest into other things as well.” Healy said that, when it comes to operating the F-16, an AFRC squadron does that “$12 million cheaper than the active duty can.” The savings on F-15 units would be even more compelling, Healy argued, with an AFRC Strike Eagle squadron working out as $28 million cheaper than the active-duty equivalent, or $24 million in the case of the F-15EX.

There remains a question, however, around just how feasible it might be for the ARFC to get the F-15E or F-15EX. For all their undoubted capabilities, these types are both in short supply and high demand. The Air Force’s planned F-15EX numbers have fluctuated repeatedly over the last few years. Under the Fiscal Year 2026 budget proposal, the Air Force’s program of record is now set to grow from 98 to 129 aircraft, with the addition of at least one more squadron, which will be converting from the A-10. Originally, the Air Force had a minimum number of 144 F-15EX aircraft to replace the F-15C/D force. Some of the Eagle units have switched to other platforms since then, but units that fly A-10s, F-16s, and even F-15Es could end up getting F-15EX if the service chooses to go such a route. It seems quite possible that further growth of the program could occur, and that would seem to be a prerequisite if the ARFC is to get the Eagle II as well.

...

Many of the savings that the AFRC makes are a result of the efficiencies that are baked into its ‘business’ practices. Of the 67,000 airmen that make up the command, 14,000 are full-timers. “Those full-timers are the ones that keep the lights on day-to-day,” Healy continued. Our business model is such that a typical unit will have 25 percent full-timers, and they run that unit for 28 days of the month. It’s only that one weekend a month that we’re at 100 percent — full strength. So those cost savings, right there, are what allow us to realize benefits. It adds up when we start putting it into big numbers like that.” Whether examples of the F-15E Strike Eagle or F-15EX Eagle II end up on Air Force Reserve Command ramps remains to be seen, but in Lt. Gen. John P. Healy, that component has a strong advocate for making that happen.

something very cursed about a commander talking about his unit in terms of "business models". I'll refer back to my earlier comment - "the US should just dissolve the Army [well, the Air Force in this case] and start letting people form up Landsknecht companies at this point, clearly they yearn for the Great Age of Mercenaries"

:::

also just a little separate note about US military power (I'll put this outside the main spoiler since I feel like with how fast the thread's moving people might not be opening full-ass articles as much):

::: spoiler more

The US military has this very weird thing going on where they have National Guard and Reserve unit equivalents of basically every branch, except the "main" military is so depleted that basically any moderately-sized war inevitably ends up involving those units, which one would normally expect to only come into play in like a WW3 mass mobilization scenario.

This can end up really skewing people's perception of how well equipped the US military actually is - for example, if you look at the ground branch's Brigade Combat Teams, the Army has 14 infantry, 11 armored (tanks + Bradley IFVs) and 6 Stryker (wheeled APC) ones. Now, I'd say that for the most well-funded military in the world, having a mere 55% rate of mechanization is still pretty embarrassing (the Soviets were pretty much fully mechanized by the '70s, with the exception of the VDV, but that wasn't a question of not being able to make enough APCs/IFVs for them, just that their nature as airborne forces made it pointless to outfit them with vehicles that they couldn't actually bring into battle - and they'd eventually address that problem with the BMD series anyway), but the particular imperial nature of the US military does impose some constraints (it's as if their whole military is the VDV, aside from a handful of units mostly permanently stationed in Europe, Korea, and CONUS itself, everything else has to be able to be rapidly redeployed across the world - which effectively prevents them from ever being proper mechanized units, as they'd simply never be able to bring their vehicles with them in practice).

However, when we consider the Army and National Guard together (the Reserve only has support units, so they're not part of this), we get 34 infantry, 16 armored, and 8 Stryker BCTs - and the rate of mechanized units drops to 41%.

This can also be seen in individual equipment - Westerners love to jack themselves off about how much better equipped their infantrymen are compared to the Chinese and Russians, except in reality most NATO militaries are absolutely tiny (obviously equipping an army of like sub-10k guys with nice shit is one thing, extending that to 100s of thousands is another), and the one military that isn't - the US - has a small "main" component and a whole bunch of National Guardsmen, who very much aren't rocking the latest top-of-the-line gear (people genuinely believe the entire US military is going in with decked-out M4s, when there's some units probably still fielding fucking stock M16A2s)

:::

This can end up really skewing people's perception of how well equipped the US military actually is - for example, if you look at the ground branch's Brigade Combat Teams, the Army has 14 infantry, 11 armored (tanks + Bradley IFVs) and 6 Stryker (wheeled APC) ones. Now, I'd say that for the most well-funded military in the world, having a mere 55% rate of mechanization is still pretty embarrassing (the Soviets were pretty much fully mechanized by the '70s, with the exception of the VDV, but that wasn't a question of not being able to make enough APCs/IFVs for them, just that their nature as airborne forces made it pointless to outfit them with vehicles that they couldn't actually bring into battle - and they'd eventually address that problem with the BMD series anyway)

Reminds me of people grossly overestimating how mechanized the Nazis were when they were using horses to transport supplies and artillery.

An oil tanker was attacked by a remote-controlled boat 52 miles off the coast of Muscat.

الاحتلال يقرر استمرار إغلاق مطار "بن غوريون" الدولي حتى يوم الجمعة القادم.

The occupation has decided to continue locking down "Ben Gurion" international airport until next Friday.

وزير خارجية فرنسا : مستعدين للدفاع عن دويلات خليج فارس .

France is ready to ‘defend’ Persian Gulf countries

‘The Iranian regime (government) must end its attacks’ — FM Barrot

According to Tasnim big Yahu got targeted and also the air force top guy

مصدر عسكري إيراني: المنشآت النفطية لدول المنطقة ليست ضمن أهداف الهجمات الإيرانية

🇮🇷⚡️🇺🇸 A military informed source told Tasnim that the oil facilities of regional countries have not been and are not targets of Iran's attacks, but all American and Israeli interests anywhere in the region are legitimate targets of Iran and will all be struck.

خصارة

Bummer

no this is good , this keeps the gulf countries silent . if they act up their revenue and state income goes , making them NOT act up . this is good.

oh 100% i agree ,was a bit of a joke GCC countries aren't getting fucked over more

I figure Iran wants to keep further escalation cards up its sleeves, as they seem to want to turn this into a war of attrition, which favors Iran. If the war goes on long enough this stance may change.

I hope so, the more the gulf nations get fucked the better. My nation had an oil rig bombed which was hilarious lmao

that's what you get for being collaborators , you dogs of the empire

Hell yea! Honestly would be funny and ideal if regime change in Iran both fails and causes accidental regime change in the gulf nations.

This is the Golden Path

I've seen a lot of users post about the US collapsing and the invasion backfiring, but what's that based on? The 12 days war had the same start and that one ended with Hezbollah completely fucked and iranian nuclear facilities destroyed, not to mention the massive wave of assassinations. Seems like US capabilities are still fine, doing long-distance bombing runs and so on. The military bases close to Iran have been bombed, but the US didn't station their important equipment there.
This is not me arguing the US hasn't suffered losses - Israel is being bombed, that radar got fucked, two F-15s are down and the USS Abraham Lincoln might have been struck. So please don't respond with "actually here is a video of the US suffering a loss".
What I am asking isn't "did the US suffer casualties?" What I am asking is "why do you say the US attack is collapsing? What makes you think the attack has backfired?"
On top of that, does anyone have any idea of the status of Iran at the moment?

The 12 days war had the same start

Except it very specifically didn't - the decapitation strikes seemed to have worked back then, with Iran taking a while to start up their response.

This time, despite a way more severe decapitation (at least in the eyes of the US/Israel, of course in reality Iranians aren't Star Wars droids and Khamenei has no bearing on military operations), Iran kicked their response into gear pretty much immediately.

Additionally, back in the 12-Day War, it seemed that a lot fewer Iranian missiles managed to get through and hit targets in Israel.

Seems like US capabilities are still fine

You have to look at war through an attritional lens. Fine, but for how long? As @Parzivus@hexbear.net said, officials in the military have openly admitted that they don't have the munitions to sustain this effort.

Germany looked pretty good in July-September 1941 - and yet, the casualties they were taking (sure, they were killing and capturing way more Soviets, but Germany had way less of a capacity to replace their losses), the fuel they were burning, the supplies they were expending, were setting them up for their eventual running out of steam, and by December, their offensive had ground to a halt.

The military bases close to Iran have been bombed, but the US didn't station their important equipment there.

The very fact that the US had to evacuate the bases already indicates their position is less tenable - planes flown from further away are going to have shorter effective ranges and be less able to actually penetrate deep into Iran, and the reliance of aerial refueling is going to make this whole operation cost way more per-flight-hour.

This is an argument I've seen a couple times already online, the "well, the bases are empty anyway so the Iranians striking them doesn't mean much" - but the whole point of a base is for it to not be empty, to allow you to project power from it! If the strategic situation changes to the point where you have to abandon the bases because you can't defend them, that's practically equivalent to if actual enemy ground troops had just rolled in and taken them, it's you admitting that you can no longer actually maintain a presence in the region. The US can't just keep a carrier group on permanent deployment in the Gulf until the end of time - perhaps the US of the Cold War could have, but not the modern one. That's why they invested in building those bases in the first place - them being pushed out is already degrading the empire's capacity to project power into the region in the future.

iranian nuclear facilities destroyed

uh... citation needed? They were struck - whatever actual damage was dealt still remains unclear.

War is politics through other means. Iran has already achieved its political goal of completely discrediting the Arab comprador regimes through their inability to defend themselves and discrediting their imperial master's willingness to defend them. No amount of cruise missile the US fires at Iran can repair the damage. The comprador regimes all got unceremoniously thrown under the bus for the sake of the Zionist entity exactly as how every single AoR leader and commentator said they would. These pathetic Arab and Muslim Zionists have been asking it for so long, and now they're going to fucking pay.

Bahrain is ripe for regime change and Kuwait's military is proving to be very "accident" prone. May a true Arab Spring sweep across the region, sparing not a single Muslim Zionist.

The US military has openly admitted they don't have the capacity for a larger war. The extreme long range missiles they've been using as well as the air defence missiles are both very limited in number after years of sending them to Ukraine and Israel. If they want to continue the amount of attacks they've been doing, it will require flying deeper and deeper into Iranian airspace while accepting more US casualties from poorly defended bases.

Of course, we don't really know how long this can be sustained by either side, or really anything that's happening inside Iran that isn't reported by state media. But the goal of regime change doesn't seem possible without US boots on the ground, and that isn't happening without 9/11 2.

The US/Israel wanted to trigger a massive uprising that toppled the goverment and installed pro-zionist pro-Shah forces, everyday that isn't happening means the attack has failed and everyday Iran bombs and destroys significant assets across the region means the US/Israeli attack has backfired

But the greatest damage Iran has inflicted isn't to the US or even Israel directly, but to the stability and credibility of the Arab comprador states, Iran has humiliated them in the eyes of their people, called into question their iron grip on power and unlike the US with its infinite money reserves, the gulf states can't simply brush off the loss of tens of billions like its nothing, especially when those lost assets are physical

The continued inability of the US empire to provide total cover for its clients is the true damage Iran has inflicted on the long term viability of the empire, the loss of expensive military assets is just a bonus

The US/Israel wanted to trigger a massive uprising

Yeah, I thought they would wait for their next color revolution attempt before bombing Iran. A few astroturfed protests and then a few bombs to help "liberal reformers" and "moderate rebels".

They tried in January but it was thwarted

A few astroturfed protests and then a few bombs to help "liberal reformers" and "moderate rebels".

The bombs humiliate the liberal reformers and prove their enemies right, though. Everyone in Iran knows what America wants to do to them. Not even the most childish comprador could ignore this now.

The ones in diaspora still would deny it. They say, "Whatever, we will rebuild it, this ayatollahs just need to go."

everybody who comments on geopolitics, especially war on social media is a little kookoo in the head about it

https://t.me/nayaforiraq/52490

from the RAF base in cyprus

What am I looking at here?

a few hours ago news came out that its being evacuated of aircrafts and has sirens https://hexbear.net/comment/6959980

This is the footage of the sirens of the base

Gotcha. Thanks!

A picture of the personal belongings of the martyred leader that were gifted to the late Allameh Mesbah Yazdi's household

(Sirens sound at the Royal Air Force Akrotiri base in Cyprus) دوي صفارات الإنذار في قاعدة أكروتيري التابعة لسلاح الجو الملكي البريطاني في قبرص

(Aircrafts take off from the base) اقلاع الطائرات من القاعدة

المتحدث باسم مقر خاتم الانبياء المركزي للإسرائيليين: غادروا الأراضي المحتلة فوراً.. صفارات الإنذار لن تتوقف أبداً

🇮🇷 Khatam al-Anbiya Central Headquarters: Immediately leave the occupied territories. The siren will never stop sounding in the occupied territories.

Washington Post reports that the mood in the Pentagon is "intense and paranoid", concerned that a war lasting more than a few days will deplete interceptor stockpiles

Power doesn’t panic.

At this point, it’s on. It’s not like we can say: ‘Hey, Iran, we’re out of missile defense systems now so we’re going to pause for a moment. Is that okay?’ It will stretch our ability to defend everything that we need to defend,” Smith said, characterizing U.S. resources as “stretched thin.”

lol

This can't be real. Holy shit.

This strategy would work against Goku but not anybody else :p

"the number of attacks is concerning after so much leadership was killed" do these motherfuckers think khameini mind controlled the whole IRGC like the fucking Borg

The original concept of the Borg was that they were capable of functioning without a center and were highly adaptive and resilient. Over time, the writers kept having to add new weaknesses so that the Starfleet characters could still win. Sort of like the US military vs. Iran simulations, now that I think of it...

They play too much Halo.

Shoot the Elites and the grunts run around all disorganized.

And Halo 2 onwards 100% made the Covenant an Iran analogy.

Yes, yes they do.

he was "yuri" in there minds ... and they thought they had it all figured out.. "just kill yuri"

God I love yuri.

I found a YouTube link in your comment. Here are links to the same video on alternative frontends that protect your privacy:

These are the dumbest fuckers on the planet. Who starts a war without doing the basic maths of their munitions vs their opponents’??

Let's replace all the top brass with yes men with little to no strategic competence. This will be fantastic for my stock portfolio.

heh is this their first HoI 4 game?

Yes.

Yeah that tracks

country entirely based on next quarter's profits

assumes wars take a week at most

nobody could have predicted this

Trump - genius that he is - will start to say "two weeks" whenever a reporter asks how much longer the war will last. And because everybody in DC is an access journalist who avoid follow up questions like the plague - Trump can probably use "two weeks" for a few months.

covid over in 4 weeks

Another f15 bites the dust

https://t.me/RezistanceTrench/56598

We have seen pictures of 3 pilots, and the footage seen earlier was of a variant with two pilots, so this could be the jet belonging to the third pilot? The sky looks noticeably darker than the other footage though, implies some passage of time

how does a military SHOOT DOWN 3 OF ITS OWN FIGHTER JETS IN THE SAME NIGHT

If it happens again tomorrow, that's solid evidence it's Iran doing it, and the Americans are just making excuses.

IRGC says they did it

A military where the grunts on the ground are borderline mutinous and just need a gentle push to defect to the other side.

I think they're mostly just jumpy

Kuwait's military says that "several" US aircraft crashed in Kuwait this morning. All pilots ejected and survived.

Source

Did a Kuwaiti air defence operator try shoot down the entire US Air Force Combat Air Patrol for Kuwait by mistake?

while it could just be a series of mistakes, given the response of the general population we've been seeing in the Gulf states, I guess we shouldn't discount the possibility of actual sabotage being deliberately performed by their soldiers

Holy fucking based

Based Kuwaiti Air Defense operator.

Looks like Iranian media is claiming one of them was shot down by Iranian air defence. There are pictures circulating of three separate pilots

The million dollar question is whether it was a mistake or a "mistake?"

May be mistake.

Enemy self identification system is unreliable as well. Common to fail because radio password response difficult to prevent interference. A lot of activity. Do you know what is challenge-response frequency? Probably it is UHF near 800-1500Mhz like S-300? May be public SDR receiver in area online to check interference.

Hope that it is not mistake.

Also if these are F-15s using APKWS, they'll have to get quite close to the drones they're shooting down and fly at a similar altitude and speed, or at least as slow as possible without stalling. They'd appear as a similar radar track to an incoming one way attack drone. So it's difficult to deconflict via speed, velocity, direction/vector and altitude if IFF fails. All this will appear very similar to a one way attack drone.

Similar happened in the 2003 Iraq war, US PATRIOT operator shot down aircraft coming in to land because their radar track matched the profile of an incoming cruise missile strike on the runway. (There was no cruise missile). An F-16CJ also destroyed a PATRIOT radar with an AGM-88 HARM after it got spiked by it. The automated nature of modern air defence systems makes fratricide quite possible if the operator doesn't know what they're doing. The system automatically calculates how to kill everything if you'd let it.

The system automatically calculates how to kill everything if you'd let it.

Oh boy surely sticking autonomous AI into its decision process couldn't possibly go wrong!

Wow, very dangerous. Probably there is some distance as well. Drone also will fly a bit low, ground clutter and ground clutter filter will make problem worse. Lose a lot of detail.

Has anybody tried anti-jet drones? They look like boring old kamikaze gerans or whatever and then they shoot out some small laser or radiation guided missiles at close range when a jet is nearby? Seems like an untapped market if jets are just stalling right next to them slowly picking them off, believing they have total air supremacy and these slow drones are of no offensive threat to them. The cost effectiveness would be extreme if it worked, and eventually jets would have to be more wary of drones and keep a greater distance.

It's possible, but the infrared targeting pods on modern fighters are quite good, the pilots of the fighter jet will be able to see which drones are armed with anti air missiles and take them out with longer range missiles (AIM-120 or AIM-9) before coming closer.

There were some Russian drones with air to air missiles but I have not seen such drones in this conflict

Yemen had some of these that were a loitering anti-air missile/drone that they used to take out American drones

Wikipedia claims GHz+

Standard transponder range I think.

Very crowded part of spectrum. Many possible source of interference. Cellular, aviation, television, radar, harmonic interference of FM radio, many fighter jet in area transmit at same time. 21st century much worse compare with before.

Electronic warfare is possible but I do not know if small Iranian drone do that.

Idk about drones, but everybody does ECM. They're essentially free. The only downside is occasionally giving away your position if there's not an AWACS on hand or something else that can do it 3rd-party. A hundred sites blaring noise for $50 are a lot cheaper than the million dollar missiles that scrap them.

Training accident.

/jk

CW: active PsyOp

Bots on twitter are claiming that a telegram channel named Gilan Radio is claiming that the IRGC have admitted to accidentally bombing the elementary school that killed those girls.

One bot said something to the effect of: "Trust me, I am an Iranian medical doctor, and spoke to people there, and from what I see this is clearly a short range missile." sure bud, it's your medical opinion that this was a short-range ground launched ballistic missile as opposed to a medium-range air-launched ballistic missile.

This is a shift from other narratives already used like: "there was an IRGC facility next to it, and Iranians were using it as a meatshield. So they were collateral to the Israeli's strike. Blame Iran."

However it would be quite bold and desperate to lie about what another organization is saying. I'm wondering if we can get any sort of actual confirmation.

The strike was in the south of Iran, so if true - the missile might've been destined for Bahrain.

They do this every time, it always starts with "that didn't happen, they are lying" then moves onto "ok, we did it, but they were an acceptable target." then onto "ok, fine, we did break international law, but they deserved it so it is ok." and then onto "actually they did it themselves to make us look bad."

people are still claiming that the Gaza hospital strike came from Hamas, when it works, it works.

Yeah, the "moving the goalposts" isn't a bug, it's a feature of their worldview, they are training people to reject reality and change their own claims about their own actions in order to "win"

But they are claiming that the IRGC is admitting to it, which is wild.

But I guess I have been hearing that a lot lately.

I think they've adapted this propaganda in the January protests till now to: "Actually they did it themselves and they (or a dissenter) admitted to it."

It wasn't a misfiring Iranian missile, there was a military base next to the school, but the military installation was no longer part of the school and actually walled off from it after 2013. Israel and the US are obviously to blame and are responsible for the strike targeting the school and killing over 100 children, and should have realised that the school was no longer part of the military base for 10+ years.

Debunking the "Iranian missile hit school

Thanks.

Official western news and high-profile propagandists arent even saying any of this, twitter bots are making this narrative up all by themselves

I wont say "organically" cuz im sure theyre opped to shit too, but theyre just doing the propaganda work that used to be done by "respectable" news sources

I was going to say these are line for line the same excuses they were throwing at the start of their response to the Oct 7th attack when they were bombing hospitals.

How long until Israel convienently finds a recording of heavily accented Iranians talking about how they accidentally bombed the school themselves?

If it weren’t an Epstein Coalition missile we’d know already, they would be trumpeting it from the rooftops

Even if it is true, it'd never have happened if the US and Israel weren't bombing Iran. They're directly responsible regardless.

The DSA came out with a fantastic statement unequivocally against the war, props to them

https://www.dsausa.org/statements/dsa-stands-against-imperialist-war-and-with-the-iranian-people/

Love that they have a Persian translation too

A number of chinooks and a C-130 with a fighter escort left Dubai a short time ago. Pretty intriguing. Telegram is claiming it’s the Americans fleeing, but who knows.

https://t.me/RezistanceTrench/56592

lmao it's telling me that it can't show me that telegram channel because it's "violated local laws". no fun allowed I guess, love too live in an imperial lapdog vassal state.

Official mirror of ResistanceTrench channel. Our main channel was restricted in EU countries. Main channel posts are automatically copied into mirror channel.

Contact us via @ResistanceTrench_bot New Discussion group: @ResistanceTrenchGC2 https://t.me/RezistanceTrench1

Remember we live in the free world.

Interesting, one I used to follow last year says that for me now but this one has survived.

—❗️🇮🇷/🇸🇦 BREAKING: Preliminary reports that Iranian Shahed-136 drones have struck an ARAMCO oil refinery in Tas Tannoura, Saudi Arabia

@Middle_East_Spectator

The remaining remnants of nothing-ever-happens loyalists have assembled at a hill for a last stand against overwhelming weeks-where-decades-are-happening forces.

MORE

hit a few more

Why would they do this? Doesn't this fuck up the relationship Iran and the Saudis developed over the past 10 years? Are groups in the IRGC acting with complete autonomy? Fuck the saudis but I don't understand the strategy here especially if this drags them into the war

This is something the US would do as a false flag

it's been widely reported the Saudis begged the US to strike Iran, the diplomacy is all theatre

Because Saudi Arabia are aiding in this attack and are fucking traitors. Fuck them and their oil and their desalinization plants. This is what they deserve.

I think their strat at this point is fuck up the gulf monarchies enough that they think asking the Americans to stop bombing iran/remove their bases from their soil is a worthy trade. The bonus of crashing the world economy when oil goes up by $50 a barrel is a nice bonus too.

The strategy is to cause maximum economic damage because the Iranian government views the current US-Israeli military operation as an existential threat. Iran is firing at everything and everyone in range. Even Cyprus took some hits.

the relationship could've survived if they told them an hour before hand to evacuate elementary schools.

there's footage of smoke there

US Navy's fifth fleet base in Bahrain was hit hard again this morning, it seems to have taken the most damage from Iranian attacks. Being less than 200km from the Iranian coastline, it is difficult to defend and within range of a lot of Iranian missiles and drones.

Video

Does this hinder the US attacks at all or did they pull everyone out of there beforehand?

The base is mostly evacuated, US warships are not attacking Iran from there, and neither are US aircraft. But it is supposed to be the headquarters of the US fifth fleet, so it makes for a good target in that context.

Not like us

“We do not negotiate with terrorists”

Imperialist rags have been describing him as 'pragmatic' 😅

He is pragmatic when you think about it

Pres Trump told me tonight the US had identified possible candidates to take over Iran, but they were killed in the initial attack.

"The attack was so successful it knocked out most of the candidates," Trump told me. "It's not going to be anybody that we were thinking of because they are all dead. Second or third place is dead."

https://xcancel.com/jonkarl/status/2028299468223676673

Very telling that the measure of success was “we killed a lot of people” as opposed to whatever else they were trying to do. I would assume that if your operation was a huge success, it would get you closer to your stated goals. I guess Trump either doesn’t know how to frame any of his actions as anything other than an historic win, or he doesn’t realize that he’s saying the quiet part loud, or both.

So they really were just trying to repeat Venezuela in killing the leader and then hoping the successor is more compliant to demands?

https://t.me/RezistanceTrench/56552

I guess they aren’t taking that downed pilot there

I saw this video but have no idea what I'm seeing. Is the smoke supposed to tell me something? Or am I missing a fire somewhere?

😔

The US has no idea what they are doing.

https://www.mediaite.com/media/news/how-many-times-do-i-have-to-tell-you-lindsey-graham-snaps-at-nbcs-kristen-welker-asking-if-trump-has-a-plan-on-iran/

For many years I've been wondering what the United States' Suez Canal moment would be. I think this war may be it.

“Senator, history tells us just how complicated regime change is,” Welker said. “We saw that when Saddam Hussein was ousted, and the terror threat and group moved in. How will the United States make sure that the next Iranian government isn’t worse than the current regime?”

“That’s not our job, to pick the next Iranian government,” Graham said. “I don’t remember being attacked by Iraq anytime, you know, in the past. Iraq is complicated, but you know, we have a relationship with Iraq. It’s up to Iran to pick your leader. It’s not my job, it’s not President Trump’s job. We’re not going to occupy the country. We’re going to give the people of Iran a chance to do something they’ve never had before: chart their own destiny.”

I don't remember being attacked by Iraq? When did Iran attack the US then?

Also the Iranian people are supposed to pick a new leader, yet Trump killed all of the opposition leaders. How is that "giving the Iranian people a chance to do something"?

"It's up to Iran to pick their leader. Unless it's one we don't like, in which case we kill them or kidnap them."

Iran attacked Israel, which is worse if you don't think about it,

The lights are on in the American empire, but nobody’s home. It’s pure koolaid and ideology all the way down.

You fucking LOVE to see it.

failsons are in control

Is'rill

The Iranian Air Force, despite not flying combat sorties, has just scored a free kill on the US Air Force.

It does say alot about the IAF and their Air Defenses though, thus far all they had managed to shoot down were at least one or two "israeli" drones. As for combat aircraft, the only confirmed destruction on the Epstein Alliance was a likely friendly fire incident. Can't really blame the IRIAF, you can't go up against F-35s, F-15s and F-22s with Tomcats and Phantoms...

Gotta have Nukes AND Air Defence systems, Ayatollah.

Iran tried to get their Su-22s in the air which they've modified to be armed with air launched ballistic missiles and Chinese anti ship missiles, but the US destroyed them on the ground before takeoff. So the Iranian Air Force is still trying, despite the odds.

thus far all they had managed to shoot down were at least one or two "israeli" drones

🤨There have been reports of like 10 Hermes and 1-2 Reapers

I belly laughed

Here is a better video showing the instant that the US F-15 got shot down over Kuwait:

https://x.com/ShaykhSulaiman/status/2028347116427317725

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